For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the home side:
Baltimore is coming off a 20-17 overtime win over Pittsburgh last Sunday, but has alternated wins and losses over their last five games.
I'm not reading too much into Baltimore's victory last week and believe it will struggle on the road in this hostile environment.
Keep in mind the Ravens are 2-4 SU their last six on the road and 2-4 ATS their last six vs. the Packers.
On the other side of the field: Green Bay (7-4) currently holds one of the wild-card spots in the NFC and looks for a fourth straight victory after a 34-12 Thanksgiving Day rout of Detroit.
Aaron Rodgers was 28 of 39 for 348 yards with a career-high-tying three TD's, Donald Driver caught seven passes for 142 yards with a TD and cornerback Charles Woodson had a sack, a forced fumble, a fumble recovery and two INT's - one returned for a TD; I believe this team is finally hitting its stride and will continue to build momentum.
Under coordinator Dom Capers’ 3-4 system, Green Bay allows an NFL-low 281.5 yards per game and has nine takeaways during the three-game winning streak.
Keep in mind Green Bay always plays tough at home; 5-2 SU its last seven overall and 5-2 SU its last seven at Lambeau.
Bottom line: Green Bay is 2-1 all-time versus the Ravens and won the last meeting 48-3 at Baltimore on Dec. 19, 2005; look for GREEN BAY to improve to 4-2 ATS in home games this season and for Baltimore to fall to a horrible 2-6 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record!
Nick Parsons 12/7
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