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B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G 6* W ido w W iseg uy Ravens/Packers M ond ay Night A T S "B LOO D B AT H" on G ree n B ay -3(-112 at 5dimes)

Despite injuries, the Packers are showing a lot of heart and finding ways to win games. Most folks would look at this game and think that Baltimore has the better defense, while the Packers have the better offense, but that's simply not the case. Get this, the Packers own the #2-Ranked defense in the league, giving up just 281.5 yards/game. Baltimore owns the #10-ranked defense at 308.9 yards/game. Advantage Packers. Green Bay also flaunts the #6-Ranked offense in the league at 382.0 yards/game. Looking down we find Baltimore as the #13-Ranked offense at 353.4 yards/game. That's certainly and improvement from year's past, but the defense is getting older and is no longer the same stop unit they once were. Baltimore needed overtime to beat a Steelers' team playing without Ben Roethlisberger at home last week. Green Bay has had 10 days' rest to get ready for the Ravens having not played since their 34-12 win over Detroit on Thanksgiving, which is also a big factor favoring the Packers. The Ravens have allowed 242 passing yards/game on the road this season and now they are up against Aaron Rodgers, who is averaging 263 passing yards/game this year. The Ravens allow 7.1 passing yards/attempt away from home, while the Packers average 7.5 passing yards/attempt overall. That's where the advantage really lies in this game, with the Packers' passing game against the Ravens' poor pass defense. Green Bay is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in the second half of the season since 1992. They are winning by an average of 10.2 points/game in this spot and covering the spread 92% of the time. Take the Packers and lay the points.

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4* on A p pa lach ian S ta te +7(-106 at 5dimes)

4-5 Wofford should not be getting this much respect from odds makers Monday. They don't have a pressure defense, thus they don't cause a lot of turnovers. Appalachian State is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997. They also don't have an explosive offense, which is a big reason why we are fading them today. Wofford is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1997. Wofford only has 2 wins by more than 3 points this season, and they came against Lees-Mcrae and Southern U. Appalachian State has won 10 of their last 15 meetings with Wofford, including their last 2 road meetings. Take Appalachian State and the points.




4* on W est ern C aro lina +7.5

Western Carolina is 7-1 this season, and they are somehow still going under the radar in the eyes of the odds makers. All 5 starters are back from last season for Larry Hunter's squad, and it's clear that this experience is paying major dividends already. Their only loss this season came at Texas, which is one of the better teams in the country. The Catamounts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. The C ata mou nts are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Bradley is a solid team as well, but the Braves are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. T he B ra ves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Take Western Carolina and the points.