Marc Lawrence Playbook


5* BEST BET
GREEN BAY over Baltimore by 14
The Ravens’ Sunday night win over the Big Ben-less Steelers comes with a price, and the bill collector is stationed in Green Bay this week. Aside from Baltimore’s 1-4 SU and ATS record after the Steelers when facing winning teams, they face the ‘Mike Tomlin’ factor head-on in this fray. That’s because teams are 9-16 SU and 6-19 ATS in games after facing Tomlin’s troops, including 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS for AFC North teams. Amazingly, like Houston, the Packers are 7-1 in their last eight games in The Stats, with the only loss by four yards to the Vikings. The Cheeseheads are also 9-1 ATS in December home games with a .500 or greater record when off back-to-back wins. The clincher comes from our database as it tells us to: Play On any Monday night non-division home dog or favorite of five or less points off a road win. That’s because these teams are 20-7 SU and ATS, including 13-2 SU and ATS if they are off a win of more than seven points. You know what to do in this Cheese fondue special.