The Packers played extremely well in their blow out of Detroit last week. They out passed Detroit 8.6yps to 4.4yps and out gained the Lions overall, 6.3yppl to 4.0yppl. They also forced five turnovers. Baltimore to by a Ben Roethlisbergerless Pittsburgh team. A key fourth and five conversion for Baltimore with less than four minutes kept a drive alive and allowed them to tie the game and then win it in OT. They out rushed Pittsburgh 4.6ypr to 4.0ypr, out passed them 6.5yps to 5.6yps and overall 5.7yppl to 4.7yppl. Baltimore averages 6.5yps against 6.1yps and 5.6yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow just 3.5ypr against 3.9ypr but their pass defense is now average after being below average for most of the season, allowing 6.3yps against 6.3yps. Overall, they allow 5.1yppl against 5.2yppl. GB now averages 6.8yps against 6.5yps and 5.8yppl against 5.5yppl. The defense has really played well lately, allowing just 3.6ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.6yps against 5.8yps and 4.8yppl against 5.1yppl. GB qualifies in a Monday night situation, which is 27-8-2 and if they are favored by three or less points, they also qualify in a momentum situation, which is 81-38-7. Numbers favor GB by three points and predict about 47 points. GB lost CB Al Harris a couple of weeks ago along with Aaron Kampman. The Harris loss is big but Kampman was really a fish out of water this year in the new 3-4 alignment for GB. Despite those losses, the Packers have done a very good job on defense and continue to get better. Meanwhile, the offense is really hitting their stride right now. They are finally just about completely healthy on offense and that includes finally getting their offensive line in tact. GB has scored at least 24 points in 8 of their 11 games this year. Baltimore hasn’t scored more than 20 points in their last four games. GB actually runs the ball as well as Baltimore, throws the ball better, actually stops the run better and stops the pass much better. All that, with a short number, at home, with a solid situation in their favor make GB worth a shot. GREEN BAY 27 BALTIMORE 17
Sixth Sense 12/7
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