We had the Saints last Monday night as my **CODE RED** 2009 "BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR", but for a number of different reasons, I believe the value in this matchup is on the large home dog:
New Orleans (11-0) is one of two unbeaten teams, along with Indianapolis. The Saints continued their dominating play with a 38-17 win over New England on Monday night; although I believe they'll win this game outright, I expect it to be much closer than oddsmakers are leading us to believe and expect a small "letdown".
New Orleans lost its last two games versus Washington, falling 29-24 at FedEx Field on Sept. 14, 2008. The Saints have dropped four of the last six matchups and are 7-15 all time against the Redskins.
The Saints have dominated almost everyone they've played the last few years, but always seems to have its hands full with the Redskins; 2-4 ATS their last six matchups.
On the other side of the field: The Redskins managed to put a scare into their last two opponents, falling 7-6 to Dallas before blowing an eight-point lead in the fourth quarter and losing 27-24 at Philadelphia on Sunday.
Washington plays three of its final five games at home, where it is 3-2.
Bottom line: Washington has been playing much better lately; a perfect 3-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
Simply too many points in a hostile environment; look for WASHINGTON to move to 3-2 ATS of a loss against a division rival and for New Orleans to fall to 0-2 ATS this year after playing on a Monday night!
Nick Parsons 12/06??
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