#337 DENVER BRONCOS @ #338 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 1PM EST
PLAY ON #338 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +6 -110 FOR 5 UNITS
The Denver Broncos scored a huge upset win and will head to Kansas City in the role odf a road favorite. The public is backing the Broncos like they already know the final score, but I disagree. The Broncos have been horrible as a favorite going just 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 in that role. Godd teams with a winning percentage of 60-75% off an upset win by 14 or more points, tend to take a dive the following week at just 15-42 ATS since 1983! Teams that have a winning record on the season, playing on the road, off an upset win as a dog are 144-223 ATS 39.2% covers since 1983! Then take the Chiefs, off a loss of 14 or more, and now posted as a home dog. These teams have roared back to go 60-29 ATS, 67.4% in that role. Then how about this. The Chiefs, since 1986 have gone 10-1-1 ATS vs the Broncos as a home dog, and better yet have won 9 of the 12 outright! Average line has been +4.54. Chiefs are also 18-7 ATS after allowing 35 or more points. I'm playing the Chiefs here in a mega 5 unit play!