3* BEST BET
Houston over JACKSONVILLE by 10
Round Two of this AFC South division scrum finds the Texans in revenge mode off a 31-24 loss in Week Three of the season. After climbing to new heights at 5-3 at the halfway mark of the campaign, Houston couldn’t breathe the conditioned air and has since choked its way back under the Mendoza Line with three straight losses. It’s right where they like it, though, as the Texans earn more than US Treasury bonds at 56-41-1 ATS in their franchise history when playing with a losing record, including 28-10-1 ATS when off back-to-back losses. Gary Kubiak’s troops enter today’s fray having outgained seven of its last eight opponents, with the only stat loss a mere four yards to Tennessee two weeks ago. Given Jack Del Rio’s disdain against division rivals seeking revenge (3-13 SU and 4-12 ATS, including 0-7 SU and ATS last seven) we open our hearts – and wallets – to Gary’s gang.

4* BEST BET
Tennessee over INDIANAPOLIS by 6
Are we hopping the Vince Young Coal Train? Hardly. While he’s been mining money for his backers ever since taking over the reins from Kerry Collins after Tennessee’s Bye Week, we’ve been all over him like Elin Woods-on-Tiger ever since she learned how to swing a club. That’s because VY is 23-12 SU and 22-12-1 ATS in all starts, including 10-4 SU and 12-2 ATS in division games. Included in the Titans’ five game win streak with Young has been two SU and ATS same-season revenge wins they suffered in their heinous 0-6 start to begin the season. Enter the 11-0 Colts, a team that had been squeaking by in its previous four games until they awoke from a 17-0 deficit to get past Houston last week. Noting that 10-0 or better NFL teams are just 6-18 ATS when facing an avenging opponent and Indy’s propensity to return to earth as favorites in games after scoring 35 or more points during December (1-10 ATS), we not only see the Titans bringing home the booty, but also stopping Indy in its tracks. All aboard.

5* BEST BET
GREEN BAY over Baltimore by 14
The Ravens’ Sunday night win over the Big Ben-less Steelers comes with a price, and the bill collector is stationed in Green Bay this week. Aside from Baltimore’s 1-4 SU and ATS record after the Steelers when facing winning teams, they face the ‘Mike Tomlin’ factor head-on in this fray. That’s because teams are 9-16 SU and 6-19 ATS in games after facing Tomlin’s troops, including 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS for AFC North teams. Amazingly, like Houston, the Packers are 7-1 in their last eight games in The Stats, with the only loss by four yards to the Vikings. The Cheeseheads are also 9-1 ATS in December home games with a .500 or greater record when off back-to-back wins. The clincher comes from our database as it tells us to: Play On any Monday night non-division home dog or favorite of five or less points off a road win. That’s because these teams are 20-7 SU and ATS, including 13-2 SU and ATS if they are off a win of more than seven points. You know what to do in this Cheese fondue special.

3* BEST BET Jaguars OVER
4* BEST BET Panthers UNDER
5* BEST BET Colts UNDER