For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on the home side:

With a 7-5 mark the Bulls will be headed for a return trip to the St Petersburg Bowl, which is little more than a 45-minute bus ride across the causeway from the campus.

QB BJ Daniels is a work in progress; Daniels has been a typical redshirt freshman, great one week, not-so-much the next. Over the last four weeks, Daniels has produced 336 yards of total offense in a win over West Virginia, 140 yards in a loss to Rutgers, 345 in a win over Louisville, and 116 in the most recent loss to Miami.

Also working against the Bulls; it’s UConn's Senior Night and also Military and Veterans Appreciation Night. The school is pulling out all the stops to get a sellout crowd.

Keep in in mind that South Florida is a horrible 1-5 ATS its last six overall.

On the other side of the field: UConn has made it through five brutally tough losses and the death of a beloved teammate. It has won enough games to lock up a bowl bid, and helped to get Notre Dame coach Charlie Weis fired; I look for this team to end the season strong.

UConn may show a different defense than usual this weekend. South Florida features the mobile Daniels at QB, so containment will be a bigger focus than it was a week ago against Syracuse.

Jordan Todman and Andre Dixon will be counted on most heavily to control the game on the ground.

Remember, Connecticut is a smoking 6-1 ATS its last seven overall.

Bottom line: Another big factor playing a roll in the outcome of this game is that will feature freezing temperatures, and it's safe to say that the Bulls don't ever play in that kind of weather at home in Tampa; look for CONNECTICUT to improve to 4-1 ATS this year as a favorite, 6-1 ATS against conference opponents, and for South Florida to fall to 2-5 ATS vs. conference opponents.

*10* CONNECTICUT.