Maximus NCAA BBall 12/5
TAKE DETROIT TITANS -3 vs Cleveland State Vikings. This game is played at Calihan Hall on the campus of Detroit, and is scheduled to tip off at 1:05 PM EST.
EVALUATION: The Titans come in with a 5-2 SU & ATS record and have won all 3 games that have been played at Calihan Hall. Their 82.3 home scoring average is a pretty solid number, and they have only been letting up 70 points average on their home floor. Detroit has some major motivation in this game, since the Vikings beat them 3 times last year, 53-44 at Detroit, 49-66 at Cleveland St, and 43-56 in the conference tourney. The Vikings have had some really tough competition early with the likes of Kentucky, Virginia, and Wichita St, but we don’t see this as an advantage, since Detroit has played a couple of tough opponents themselves such as the defensive minded Depaul Blue Demons and the California Golden Bears. We like the 46% shooting percentage that Detroit has, and they average 6.1 more rebounds a game than the Vikings.
PROJECTION DETROIT 80 CLEVELAND ST 59 TAKE JAMES MADISON DUKES vs Georgia State Panthers. This game is played at JMU Center on James Madison’s campus and is scheduled to begin at 11am PST
EVALUATION: James Madison has a 4-2 SU record and is yet to lose on the home court of the JMU center, they have been averaging 68 points a game there and are only allowing 60 points avg. We like their 41.1% shooting percentage, but would like to see their Assist/Turnover Ratio get above the 1 mark, they are currently sitting at .9.
The Panthers are turning the ball over an average of 5.4 extra times than their assists, and they are only scoring 58 points a game average on the road. The Panthers have lost all 3 game on the road SU & ATS and we expect the same thing in this game with such a small spread.
PROJECTION JAMES MADISON 68 GEORGIA STATE 60
SOLIDS _____________________________Projection
WILLIAM & MARY +1 ½ vs VCU __________________WM & MARY 72-67
ST JOHNS +17 vs Duke _______________________________Duke 71-65
MONEYLINE
ST. BONAVENTURE +600 ____________________________St. Bonnie 73-66
HERE Then is the Late Card.
NCAA BB Late Selections after 4pm 12/05/09
LOCKS:
TAKE DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS +17 vs Vanderbilt Commodores. This is being played at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, TN where the Commodores call home, and is scheduled to begin at 4pm EST.
EVALUATION: Both teams enter this game with a 5-1 SU mark, and have had a good start to the college basketball season. Vanderbilt has been having a good year so far, only dropping their opening round game in the MAUI Invitational to Cincinnati, they ended up as the consolation winner after beating Arizona 84-72. They came home with a tough fought win over a scrappy Missouri team, and now the Demons come a calling. Vandy likes an up tempo game averaging 80.7 points a game at home. Depaul on the other hand likes a slow and methodical game and only allows 54.8 points average per game which is 6th best in the NCAA DIV. 1 rankings. Depaul’s only loss has come to the hands of the Tennessee Volunteers where they dropped a tough fought battle as 19 ½ point dogs 53-57. This is going to be a war of wills, and we think Depaul’s will will win out, there 9.8 turnovers a game bodes well for a BLUE DEMONS cover.
PROJECTION: DEPAUL 57 VANDY 63
TAKE WASHINGTON ST COUGARS +9 vs Kansas St. Wildcats. This is being played in the Bramlage Coliseum on the campus of K-State and is scheduled to begin at 9pm EST.
EVALUATION: K-State and Wash-St. both come into this game with matching 6-1 straight up marks and each have been points up in bunches. Each team averages over 80 points a game, and each team averages opponents to a shade over 66 points a game. They both have played some pretty stiff competition with Wash St. playing in the Alaskan Shootout were awarded the championship, and K-State has played a stiff Dayton team, and a Top 25 Ole MISS team in which they dropped a 74-86 . We think the odds makers have not been giving the Cougars their just due, and until this changes, we think the Washinton St. Cougars have good value here.We think both teams are going to score in this game and score often, all stats in this game point to a very close game, and we would not be surprised to see the Cougars to pull the outright upset and win this game outright.
PROJECTION: WASHINGTON ST 75 KANSAS ST. 74
TAKE MURRAY ST RACERS -9 vs Morehead St Eagles. This is being played at the Regional Special Events Center on the campus of the Murray State, and is scheduled to begin at 8:30pm EST
EVALUATION: Murray State comes into this game with a 6-1 SU mark, and have been averaging over 81 points a game. They have been overpowering their weaker opponents, and besides a tough fought battle with Eastern Kentucky in which they won 62-60 they have been beating opponents by an average of 22.6 points a game. Morehead St is 2-3 SU on the season, and have lost to Kentucky, LA-Monroe, and Kent St., while beating sub par teams in Brescia and Tennesee Martin. We see the 83.3 points a game average of the Racers to hold up vs the Eagles weak 66.5 points a game on the road of the Eagles. Murray states 4 and 0 home record should move to 5-0 and we see them covering the spread here.
PROJECTION: MURRAY ST. 75 MOREHEAD ST. 61
SOLIDS:-----------------------------Projections:
Oregon +11 ½ vs Missouri ---------------------------------Missouri 72-70
Deleware +21 vs Old Dominion --------------------------Old Dominion 73-66
Charlotte +18.5 vs Louisville --------------------------------Louisville 77-67
Loyola- Chicago +10.5 vs Wisc-Milw --------------------Wisc-Milw 72-70
Jacksonville St -4.5 vs Tennessee Tech-----------------Jacksonville St 83-75
Eastern Illinois +7.5 vs Austin Peay ---------------------Austin Peay 75-74
MONEYLINE
FURMAN +155 ------------------------------------------------Furman 72-66
SACRAMENTO ST +235-----------------------------------------Sac St. 75-70
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