"1 UNIT" COLLEGE FOOTBALL MARQUEE SYSTEM TOTAL (Florida versus Alabama OVER 41 in the SEC Championship which kicks off at 4:05 eastern on CBS): The oddsmakers had no choice but to "low ball" this total since both Florida (12 ppg allowed) and Alabama (10' ppg allowed) have been outstanding defensively in conference play. But as we all have heard constantly in the hype leading up to this much anticipated contest Florida's top defensive end Carlos Dunlap (7 sacks, 8' tackles for loss) has been suspended on an off the field DUI charge. Dunlap (290 pounds) was the defensive MVP of last year's BCS Title game and soon will be cashing NFL paychecks. The bottom line is that the Gators defensive line has taken a hit which is bad news since Alabama has an angry offensive star who is about to take full advantage. Due to a painful hip pointer injury sustained last Saturday, Mark Ingram was held to just 30 yards on the ground. Despite the injury Ingram took all snaps this week in practice and today will be attempting to make one more "Heisman" trophy statement. Even though he does not receive that much attention, Alabama's quarterback Greg McElroy spent three years at the high school level learning behind future Missouri star Chase Daniel. Basically McElroy is a product of high school football from the gridiron crazed state of Texas and has the ability to put enough points on the scoreboard. Of course Florida has Tim Tebow who accounted for 311 yards and 5 touchdowns last week as his bid for another Heisman Trophy was bolstered. It was Tebow who a year ago at this time took the Gators on his back in the SEC Title game, especially in the fourth quarter when a close contest was broken wide open. Most of you reading this analysis will remember last year's SEC title game when the Gators were without injured star Percy Harvin who arguably was the most dynamic offensive playmaker in school history. Even without Harvin and facing an outstanding defense, Florida was able to put 31 POINTS on the scoreboard as they advanced to the BCS Title game. I am fully aware that this season in conference play both Florida (7-1) and Alabama (5-2) for the most part played "below" the posted spot, but that has only led to a deflated total late this afternoon. My database research indicates that since Urban Meyer has been head coach, Florida has gone a resounding 9-2 OVER versus solid rushing opponents who average at least 4.75 yards per carry. Here is a dynamic 78-PERCENT SYSTEM (26-7 past decade) which takes teams like Florida with a great defense OVER a posted total of 42-or-less points, after a game where the offense put at least 37 points on the scoreboard. That 78% long term system supports the OVER