triple-dime bet 332 Alabama 5.0 (-110) BetUS vs 331 Florida Analysis: Play On: Alabama (Game 332)
Note: A classic matchup in the toughest conference in the land finds top-ranked Florida hosting No. 3 Alabama for the SEC championship and a ticket to the BCS Championship game. Last year the shoe was on the other foot when the 12-0, No. 1 ranked, Tide met the Gators in this same game. Florida rallied late to pull out the win and advance to the BCS title game, en route to a national championship. While Florida has put up impressive numbers this season the fact of the matter is they have faced only ONE ranked team. On the other side, Alabama has squared off against FOUR ranked opponents in 2009. To carry matters further, the Gators averaged 42.1 PPG this season in games against sub .600 opposition. In games against .600 or great opponents, the Gators averaged 25.2 PPG. Florida head coach Urban Meyer has met with great success but a closer examination of his record draws this parallel: in games in which Meyer's teams have been favored by more than five points they are 68-5 SU and 43-27-3 ATS. In games in which Meyer's teams have been favored by five or less points they are only 9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS. Meanwhile, Alabama coach is at his best when seeking revenge, where he is 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS in his career when playing of a win as a favorite or dog of less than seven points when facing an opponent off a SU and ATS win - with eight SU wins as an underdog! Toss in the fact that defending national champions that are favored by less than seven points against avenging foes with a win percentage of .800 or more are 1-3-1 ATS si~nce 1989. The clincher is the fact that undefeated teams in Conference Championship games off a SU and ATS win are just 3-3 SU and 0-6 ATS when off a win of seven or more points. Grab the points as the Tide rolls into the BCS title game. We recommend a 4-unit play on Alabama.