B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

5* W iseg uy Big East B LO WO UT on R utg ers -1(-110 at bodog)

Off their biggest win of the season, the West Virginia Mountaineers will let down this weekend after beating Pitt 19-16 in the Backyard Brawl last weekend. Rutgers has been great this year, posting an 8-3 record on the season. This is the best defensive team in the Big East, allowing just 16.8 points/game. They allow 15.5 points/game at home, while WVU allows 27.0 points/game on the road where they are just 1-3 this season. Rutgers is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Rutgers and lay the points.


4* on USC -7(-108 at 5dimes)

USC hasn't shown this much value all season as just a small home favorite to beat Arizona, a team that has played it's way out of a Pac-10 Title. The Trojans have won the last two meetings in this Rivalry by 7 points each, and they were expected to blow out the Wildcats in those two games. Now, with the odds makers adjusting this line down to 7, not much is expected from the Trojans here, and that's why we feel they will come out and dominate. The Trojans are 4-1 at home this year, scoring 34.8 points/game. Arizona is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in road games this season, scoring just 23.7 points/game. USC is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival since 1992. The Trojans haven't played up to their capability this year, and that's why they are showing so much value here Saturday. Take USC and lay the points.


6* W ido w W iseg uy Ba ma/Florida Co nfer ence Ch ampio nship GA ME OF THE YEAR on Alabama +6(-110 at SportsInteraction)

All season long, Alabama has been the more impressive team. The Gators lack the same offensive firepower they did a year ago, and with the Crimson Tide playing in the role of revenge from last year's 20-31 loss to Florida in the SEC Championship, they'll come out with a little extra fire in this year's meeting. Florida's schedule this season was much easier than Alabama's, with cupcake opponents all over it. The Crimson Tide have been more battle-tested this year, pulling out some close wins along the way against quality opponents. Those experiences, plus last year's close loss to Florida, will have them prepared to pull this one out in the end. Alabama is a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att since 1992. The Gators have yet to play a team with as much balance as Alabama, and the Crimson Tide will be able to move the ball on this defense both on the ground and through the air. Florida's biggest strength is running the football, but they haven't faced a defense as stingy against the run as Alabama's. The Crimson Tide allow just 78 rushing yards/game and 2.7 yards/carry. Take Alabama and the points.

4* on South Florida +7.5(-108 at 5dimes)

We see no way South Florida loses this game by more than a touchdown Saturday. 3 of the last 4 meetings in this series have been decided by 7 points or less, with the lone exception being a 38-16 home win by South Florida in 2006. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. With starting QB Cody Endres out for the season for UConn, they are left with Zach Frazer who has completed just 52% of his passes this year with 7 touchdowns to 9 interceptions. Take South Florida and the points.