NE dominated the Jets last week and won by 17 but they were greatly aided by four Mark Sanchez interceptions and one lost fumble. They were out rushed by NY, 4.0ypr to 3.2ypr, out passed the Jets 7.0yps to 5.3yps and out gained the Jets overall 5.3yppl to 4.6yppl. They also threw the ball 20 more times to help create the difference in the yppl numbers. The Saints went to TB and dominated from the get go in their 38-7 win. They out rushed TB 5.2ypr to 5.1ypr (183-119), out passed them 6.4yps to 2.8yps and out gained TB overall, 5.7yppl to 3.7yppl. NE averages 7.2yps against 6.1yps and 5.9yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow just 5.6yps against 6.0yps and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl. The Saints average 4.8ypr against 4.5ypr, a whopping 7.9yps against 6.3yps and 6.4yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.5ypr but just 5.4yps against 5.7yps and 5.1yppl against 5.1yppl. The Saints qualify in momentum situation, which is 81-38-7. They also qualify in a Monday night situation, which is 26-8-2. Numbers favor NO by five points and predict about 59 points. NE has played three good teams this year on the road (Jets were decent when they played them) and lost all three of those games. Granted, they had Indy defeated until the key fourth down, fourth quarter call. Saints numbers are better than NE and they are playing at home with some solid situations in their favor. It’s not just that NO throws the ball better than NE, they rush the ball better, averaging 155 yards a game. The defense is on the same level as NE. NE is a very good team, but I don’t think they are as good as NO, who really thrives in the dome in these types of games. I would like to play the over but this total is just way too high to attempt to win this and NO is a more balanced team on offense than most people think and their willingness to run the ball obviously eats the clock. NEW ORLEANS 34 NEW ENGLAND 24
Sixth Sense 11/30
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