[Ericg320]

Ness, Smart, Fargo, Doc and Rickenbach all on Titans.

[NCAACapper]

Ness is calling this play a "Situational Mismatch"
Smart is calling this play an "NFL Woodshed Massacre" 5* (he calls his 5* plays "Action Plays")
Fargo is calling this play a "NFL Non-Conference GOW" 8* says play is backed by Power Situation and Team Angles combined 99-48 ATS
Rickenbach is calling this play a "10* GOM" (10* is his highest rated play)
Doc is calling this play his "Top NFL POW" (5*)

[Naz18]

Kurt Warner likely out for the game.

[NCAACapper]

Malinsky is on the Under for this game.

5* #216 TENNESSEE/ARIZONA Under

It should not come as any surprise that we land on this one – after cashing a 6* Under ticket with the Titans on Monday night, and then focusing on how misleading their defensive numbers are in this week’s N.F.L. edition of ”Verities & Balderdash”, we can easily stay in play as the markets deal the wrong line range.Yes, you will see awful statistics for the Tennessee pass defense. That is what happens when you lose three key contributors from the secondary at the same time, and are forced to start a pair of rookie CB’s in back-to-back games against Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, who lit them up for 90 points, 735 yards through the air, and nine TD passes. But now Cortland Finnegan, Vincent Fuller and Nick Harper are all healthy again, while Rod Hood has had several weeks to learn the Titan schemes and is also now a prime part of the rotation. Instead of being near the bottom of the league this is a capable defense, and one playing with a lot of confidence and enthusiasm in the current 4-0 SU run.But the markets lag behind. When was the last time we saw a 46 dealt as a Total on this field? You have to go back 21 games, to December of 2006 against the Colts. Now it is not just a case of the Tennessee defense putting better players on the field, but that the game flows also slow down, as they get back to playing Jeff Fisher football again. And this is not a Total for a Fisher game.Arizona also contributes for our purposes this week. The Cardinal defense has been outstanding on the road this season, allowing only 14.2 points per game (that includes a couple of garbage-time TD’s when they were leading 34-7 in the fourth quarter at Chicago), and their depth and quickness up front make a big difference in slowing Chris Johnson down, and keeping Vince Young in the pocket. Meanwhile the offensive focus continues to be more on working underneath than stretching the field (neither Larry Fitzgerald nor Anquan Boldin are averaging more than 12.0 per catch), and in recent weeks we have see a lot more two TE looks, which not only helps the running game, but brings better protection on the edges for a fragile Kurt Warner. It all adds to bring a much different flow than what the oddsmakers have called for, and we take advantage.

[NCAACapper]

Kurt Warner likely out for the game.

It's confirmed. He is NOT playing.

[Joe Sharp]

Wow. I bet none of them thought it would end like that. But a win is a win... if you got -2 !!