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    Default aussieguysportspicks NFL Pick 3

    MIAMI at BUFFALO
    UNDER 39


    I'm playing the UNDER in Buffalo because of the line movement that isn't budging at all. The books opened the Fins -3 for -115 and they're now at the same number for -125 or even -130. The Lines Makers and the betting agencies aren't giving an inch there. Normally with that sort of money coming in, we would have seen Miami drifted down to -4 by now! (at least -3.5) But the betting shops are keeping the same line, asking the bettors to lay more, in order to counteract the juice, for the same number, -3. Obviously such a movement by the books, indicates a close fought contest.
    I don't think this will be as easy as it might appear at first glance. Most people and sports experts reckon Miami should cruise to victory here. I just don't think it will be as easy as that. Ricky Williams was amazing against the Panthers last week, but I just don't think neither him nor the Dolphins will be able to replicate last week's flawless performance in a rugged Buffalo terrain. We should see plenty of punting and defensive play and points coming at a premium

    Miami is still in the race and they can grab a wild card still, so they really want this real bad. Will Buffalo lay down and let the Dolphins have a field day? I don't think so! The numbers certainly indicate that it won't be easy.
    Couldn't care less who wins and who covers, but this should stay UNDER

    CLEVELAND at CINCINNATI
    UNDER 19.5 FIRST HALF

    Cleveland are awful, no matter what you make of their "heartbreaking" loss to Detroit last week. The Bengals loss as -9.5 favourites last week, was a huge surprise to to everyone. They will tear the Browns apart this week, but first half Cleveland might make it somewhat respectable... and By respectable I mean 17-0. We don't have to worry about the Browns scoring. My only fear would be if Cincy has a field day and just scores at will here everytime they get possession of the ball. If that hapens, ..well, what can you do! That's the part of the gamble. But I highly doubt that this would go over in the first Half. 19.5 is a low number that doesn't give us much room to breathe, In fact is the lowest on the board today; But it is that low for a very good reason. The Browns find it near impossible to get to that end zone, it shouldn't get easy against a pissed off Bengals team here today.

    SEATTLE at ST LOUIS RAMS
    OVER 21 FIRST HALF

    This is my type of game; The type that no one really cares or gives two hoots about. Two absolutely horrid teams, one worse-r than the other; and where you have a 100% chance at capping it right by simply flipping a coin! Gun to my head I'd take the Rams to win SU, but I'm not forced to make a bet there.
    However, I expect the Rams to get involved in a shoot out. I suspect that will be their strategy at avenging that first week bagel loss to the Hawks. But if the Rams are to keep this anywhere near the point spread they will have to score plenty of points themselves, because their Defense is absolutely no atrocious (ranked 28th overall, and demolished by the Cards last week) The first half total opened slightly too high for two horrible teams, That has made everyone jump on the Under.
    I just don't believe that is right. Such number warrants a play on the OVER

    VERY IMPORTANT:
    ALL BETS ARE THE SAME AMOUNT. PERSONALLY I WILL BET EVERY SINGLE ONE FOR 0.7 UNITS
    THEREFORE, WE'RE BETTING ONLY JUST OVER 2 UNITS FOR THE DAY, WHICH OUGHT TO BE THE NORM. WE SHOULDN'T BET MORE THAN 1 OR 2 UNITS DAILY.

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