Unfortunately these games already started...sorry
4* on Syracuse +14(-115 at bodog)
Syracuse has been improving as the season has progressed, and they keep giving max effort which was evident in their 31-13 upset win over Rutgers last week as a 10-point dog. This is the last game of the season for the Orange, so they will want to go out with a bang at Connecticut Saturday. Syracuse outgained Rutgers 424-130 last weekend in a dominant performance. Why is that a factor? Because Syracuse is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. Take Syracuse and the points.
4* on UAB +3(-110 at bookm)
UAB is catching points at home Saturday, and they really shouldn't be. They host a UCF team that is just 1-3 on the road, scoring 21.2 points/game away from home. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS at home this season, scoring a blistering 40.7 points/game. In fact, they are outscoring their opponents by 14.5 points/game at home this year. UAB is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a 2 game road trip over the last 3 seasons. After a tough road trip, they'll return home hungry to become bowl eligible as they sit at just 5-6 right now. Take UAB and the points.
In Tim Tebow and the rest of these senior's last home game, look for emotions to be running high Saturday as the Gators host in-state rival Florida State. The last 2 meetings in this series haven't been close at all, with Florida winning by 33 points in 2007 and 30 points in 2008. In what used to be one of the biggest games of the year nationally, this has just become a one-sided series and that should continue in 2009. With what's at stake for Florida, they won't be having a letdown to the Seminoles. FSU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Florida is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Also a factor is that plays on Home favorites of 21.5 or more points, an excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with a terrible rushing defense (>=4.8 YPR), in non-conference games are a remarkable 26-4 (87%) ATS since 1992. FSU cannot stop Florida's running game, so when the Gators get up huge they'll be able to keep piling on the points with their rushing attack. Take Florida and lay the points.