Thursday, November 26, 2009


8:20 PM
Denver
NY Giants

Spread Pick
Picked Denver with spread of +6 (-109)
100 units were wagered.


Good time for Denver to fight hard in prime time. They have the big losing streak but they've run into the wrong teams at the wrong time and injuries at QB have hurt. The Giants don't deserve to be laying this many on the road and were an OT field goal away from continuing their long losing streak. What I like is the poorer play of the Giants D recently and that will allow the Broncos to earn the cover as a prime time home dog. Denver +6 for a 4* play.

4:15 PM
Dallas
Oakland

Spread Pick
Picked Dallas with spread of -13.5 (-105)
100 units were wagered.


A rare big fav but last week's results set up perfectly for it. Oakland caught Cincy at the perfect time and are now travelling on a short week after pulling the upset. Travelling off that kind of win for an inconsistent team is often a train wreck in the following week and it magnifies it with a short week and being a west coast team. The Dallas D has enough to seriously limit the Raiders while the Dallas running game is in a great spot to pound the Raiders and let this team make a statement in front of a national audience. Good running opens up the passing game and I think all this combined gets the Cowboys a lopsided win. Just one other note. After the Raider upset and the Dallas stinker last week, I really feel like the Oddsmaker is laying a trap opening the Raiders as a 2 TD underdog. It's done a good job to split the action so far but there are reasons for every number that gets set. Take Dallas for a 3* regular play.