NELLYS GREEN SHEET


Texas (-22½) TEXAS A&M 7:00 PM
The Longhorns are locked into the Big XII championship game but Texas lost the last time
they visited College Station. Winning both of those games should land Texas into the BCS
championship game but there will be arguments made elsewhere. Texas has been on cruise
control with five consecutive wins by at least 27 points and three of those wins came away
from home. Texas A&M is now bowl eligible with a dominant win last week against Baylor and
the Aggies have scored at least 31-points in every home game. Texas is allowing just 50
yards per game on the ground this season so there will be a big battle in the trenches as A&M
rushes for over 190 yards per game. A&M finished with a net -24 rushing yards last season in
this match-up so for the Aggies to have a shot QB Jerrod Johnson will need to make plays.
Johnson actually has more TD passes and fewer interceptions than his more heralded
counterpart Colt McCoy, though McCoy has an incredible 73 percent completion percentage.
Texas needs to impress to hold its ground but this could be a tougher than expected game as
the Aggies can score points and have performed well at home. TEXAS BY 16




Green Bay (NL) DETROIT 11:30 AM
The Packers were in control most of the way last week but gave away the cover late. That win
makes two straight for Green Bay and in the crumbling NFC the Packers are in wild card
position. The Packers have a very tough three-game stretch following this game so this is a
critical match-up to take care of business. The Lions/Browns game last week likely received
few viewers but it turned out to be an epic game and a breakthrough for rookie QB Matthew
Stafford. The health of the QB is in question this week and the Lions are likely in for a letdown
off the short week in their annual Thanksgiving game. PACKERS BY 17


DALLAS (-13½) Oakland (40½) 3:15 PM
The Cowboys have scored just 14 points the last two weeks and both scores came very late in
the games after horrendous production most of the way. Oakland caught some breaks to turn
in an incredible comeback win over Cincinnati but playing on the road could mean much more
difficult circumstances. Fill-in QB Bruce Gradkowski played capably last week but the Raiders
never would have won without a gift fumble on a kickoff return. Oakland has scored just 42
points in four road games this season and Dallas should deliver a convincing victory even if
the offense has raised major concerns the past two weeks. Dallas faced Green Bay in a tough
spot and Washington’s defense can be very good while Oakland has not proven they can play
back-to-back strong games. COWBOYS BY 17




NY Giants (-6) DENVER (42) 7:20 PM
The Giants escaped with a win last week but the defense played horribly and the offense
completely shifted out of the normal Giants plan of attack. Denver is not in the spot that the
Giants were last week with four consecutive losses and the season appears to be crumbling
for the once 6-0 Broncos. In fairness the schedule has been brutally tough for Denver facing
physical defenses in big games for the opponent. Value is back on the Broncos and QB Orton
should be back at full health after coming off the bench last week. New York’s defense does
not allow a lot of yards but the unit is giving up big plays and committing penalties which will
be costly in a tough road venue. BRONCOS BY 3