[olemiss33]

3-Unit Play #504 Take Washington -2 1/2 Over Philadelphia (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
Both of these teams are cruddy but we think that they are both pretty equal right now and we will give the home squad the edge as we feel the home team in this series should win by 5-6 points. Washington has played a more road-heavy schedule with 7 road games compared to 5 at home and we feel their slate has been a bit tougher as well. Since the Sixers only two road wins have come against New Jersey and the Knicks, this would be their first “quality win” of the season on the road and we don’t see it happening. The Wiz Kids also knocked off the Cavs in their last home contest and we think that could have them showing some extra confidence when returning home tonight after two tough road losses.

3-Unit Play #509 Take Oklahoma City/Utah UNDER 197 (9 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams and the under is also 15-6 in the Jazz last 21 home games stretching back to last season. We think the Thunder are an underrated defensive club and they are No. 5 in the league for points allowed, No. 6 for defensive FG % and No. 4 for three-point % allowed. Utah has been playing pretty solid defense lately too as they have allowed only 94 PPG in their last five games, and there was one OT game thrown in there as well.

4-unit Play #507 Take New Jersey/Denver UNDER 203 (9 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
New Jersey has only played two games this season (out of 13) that got anywhere near 200 for the combined score. Two of those games went well over 200 and one of those was against this same Denver team. Thanks to that game we get a much higher number in this one and we think there is value on the under. The Nets can’t get into a shootout with Denver, they know what happened last time in that high scoring game (a 28-point Denver win). This New Jersey is 11-2 this season for the under because they try and slow the game down in order to be close enough to win because they have some nice defensive pieces but not a lot of offensive weapons. In the last game Denver shot 53% from the field and 56% from three-point land and we expect those numbers to come back down to Earth a bit. Even if the Nuggets are able to score a ton of points then we think the game will be a blowout and we just don’t see NJ scoring enough to get this one over the posted number

[jcygts6]

thanks!

[SOCALSCOTT]

2 tough losses

[MathewXB]

Eh he did not lose by much so I say good job and keep it up!

[Preston09]

2 tough losses

Very tough...

[jcygts6]

yea seriously.. especially the utah total

[julio_cat]

Agree on Utah Under. It was a 93 Second half. But 1st Quarter alone was big

[hartalino]

Doc is not very good.

[hockey216]

Doc is not very good.

Doc is good.

It is a tough business. No capper consistently does better than the low-to-mid 60% range.

Doc is one of the best hoops cappers i know

[Jim87675]

Yea - people tend to forget his days when he goes 3-0 and is up 11 units. Its easy to get mad when he goes 1-2 and your down 2.6 units but you need to look at the season as a whole. And if you think he is that bad - fade him!!

[Jack Rebney]

anyone have his plays for today?

[hockey216]

Yea - people tend to forget his days when he goes 3-0 and is up 11 units. Its easy to get mad when he goes 1-2 and your down 2.6 units but you need to look at the season as a whole. And if you think he is that bad - fade him!!

Yea, Hartalino. Fade DOC for a whole season and i'll tail him for a whole season... no brainer.

it's easy to get pissed off when you go 1-2 but look at long run.

You wont be saying that on his 3-0 up 11 unit days

[griffreds]

Think today i might lay down a teaser of Docs picks.....he picks the right games to handicap but is barely missing.

[newgard1021]

Good idea, grif, he hasn't been crazily off all year, usually just missing by a basket or two. Today has the makings for a big day....

[hockey216]

Think today i might lay down a teaser of Docs picks.....he picks the right games to handicap but is barely missing.

I know a lot of ppl on here like them.

But i don't find value in teasers. Do the math - the book shortchanges you.

I think you're better off firing each play individually.

Lets say you have 3 teams. you go 2-1 ATS, but the loss is a big loss. Teaser lose, play separate, profitable day.

I see the attraction that it's easy to cover with 8 more points, etc...


but i still don't like it. Think they shortchange you on the value.

[newgard1021]

Yeah, I read on some website that you would have to tease a decent number of points down to find as good a value in basketball that you would in football, but Doc has been barely missing on some of these games. Yesterday- miss Wizards by 2, miss Jazz under by 1. Are we expecting Doc to get this close to the lines every time? No. But on more than a few occasions it would have been profitable to tease down a couple of points.

[phillybets]

I know a lot of ppl on here like them.

But i don't find value in teasers. Do the math - the book shortchanges you.

I think you're better off firing each play individually.

Lets say you have 3 teams. you go 2-1 ATS, but the loss is a big loss. Teaser lose, play separate, profitable day.

I see the attraction that it's easy to cover with 8 more points, etc...


but i still don't like it. Think they shortchange you on the value.

I've been looking at the 2nd half lines, and adding them back into the current score, then taking games that give me 6 or more points better of a line, than if I took it for the whole game. It's a brand new thing I've been trying, but so far it's 7-3. I'm curious to see if it keeps up!

[phillybets]

I've been looking at the 2nd half lines, and adding them back into the current score, then taking games that give me 6 or more points better of a line, than if I took it for the whole game. It's a brand new thing I've been trying, but so far it's 7-3. I'm curious to see if it keeps up!

Oh, and forgot to add: My theory here is that it's basically like getting a game on the 'teaser' line...But you don't have to win both to win your bet...the final result is still individual bets