THE SPORTS ADVISORS

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23

NFL

Tennessee (3-6, 4-5 ATS) at Houston (5-4, 5-3-1 ATS)

After beginning the season with six straight losses, the Titans now head to Reliant Stadium in search of their fourth straight victory as they take on the Texans in an AFC South clash.

Tennessee scored a 41-17 win over Buffalo last weekend, cashing as nine-point favorites as they broke open a 17-17 tie by scoring the final 24 points. During their 0-6 start to the season (1-5 ATS), the Titans topped the 17-point mark only once, but since coach Jeff Fisher made the switch at QB from Kerry Collins to Vince Young, the offense has exploded for 30 or more in three consecutive SU and ATS wins.

The Titans still ranks just 21st in total offense (332 yards per game), but they now have the league?s second-best rushing attack at 161.8 ypg. RB Chris Johnson leads the NFL in rushing and during the winning streak, the second-year pro has 495 rushing yards, 136 receiving yards and six total touchdowns. On the downside, Tennessee?s defense is 30th in the 32-team NFL in points-allowed (28.3 per game) and 31st in pass defense (270.4 ypg, just a yard better than lowly Detroit).

Houston won three of its last four (3-0-1 ATS) going into its bye last week. The Texans last played on Nov. 8 when they went to Indianapolis and fell 20-17, covering as 7?-point underdogs. Houston?s offense ranks sixth in the league at 374.9 ypg, with QB Matt Schaub leading the third most-prolific passing attack at 283.7 ypg. The Texans are middle of the pack when it comes to defense, ranking 17th in total defense (332.1 ypg), but they have not been able to get to opposing quarterbacks this season, ranking next to last in sacks with just 11.

These teams played a shootout in Week 2 this season with Schaub throwing for 357 yards and four TDs to lead the Texans to a 34-31 road win as seven-point road ?dogs. Houston has won the last two meetings (2-0 ATS) after dropping seven in a row to the Titans (6-1 ATS). The underdog is on a 9-3 ATS streak in the last 12 meetings.

Tennessee is on ATS slides of 2-5 on the road, 0-5 against winning teams and 1-5 against AFC South rivals, but the Titans are on positive pointspread runs of 4-0 in November, 16-7 as an underdog and 4-1 in Week 11 games. Houston is on modest ATS runs of 4-0 in November games, 5-1 against AFC South rivals and 5-2 in Week 11.

The Titans are on ?over? streaks of 6-2 overall, 4-0 on the road, 4-1 in November and 5-1 against AFC squads. The Texans have topped the total in 20 of 27 against the AFC South but they?re also on ?under? runs of 5-1 overall, 4-1 after a bye week, 8-2 after a spread-cover and 7-2 against teams with a losing record. In this Rivalry, the over has been the play in six of the last seven overall and five of the last six in Houston.

Finally, the last two Monday Night Football games have stayed under the total following a 19-5-1 ?over? streak. The over is 8-3 on Monday this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER