View New Posts
  1. #1

    Trophy Morrison NBA System Play 11/23

    System play is on Chicago (A) bet.

  2. #2

  3. #3

    Default

    Bucks are from the East; is this an unofficial play?

  4. #4

  5. #5

    Default

    He means the third game on the road trip is against the Bucks

  6. #6

  7. #7

    Default

    Maybe it is his new v. 2.0 NBA system where only 2 out of 3 games should be from the opposit conference

  8. #8

  9. #9

    Default

    They have already won on the 'A' bet, on the 17th @ Sacramento.....
    This game @Portland will be the Bulls 4th game on their road trip.



    11/23 @ Portland 10:00 PM
    11/21 @ Denver 112 - 93
    11/19 @ L.A. Lakers 108 - 93
    11/17 WIN @ Sacramento 87 - 101
    Last edited by 19th Hole; 11-23-09 at 07:38 AM.

  10. #10

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by dongoyo209 View Post
    System play is on Chicago (A) bet.
    Not A PLAY!

    I recommend that you only start betting on a series if the team’s consecutive 3-game road trip begins immediately after their home game. This also means that if a team is on a 6-game road trip vs. 6 opponents from the opposing conference, then you should only wager on the first 3 games (assuming that they played a home game immediately before starting the road trip).
    Now, an exception would be that if a team has been playing road game(s) within their own conference before they start 3 consecutive games vs. 3 opponents from the opposing conference, then you should only treat the 3-game series vs. the opposing conference as eligible for play ONLY if that team has lost ALL of its road games from the beginning of the road trip by more than 3 points against the spread.
    Points Awarded:

    Quadropheniac gave russwlms 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  11. #11

  12. #12

    Default

    Thanks russwlms. Is that excerpt from the 2.0 system or the original system?

  13. #13

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Quadropheniac View Post
    Thanks russwlms. Is that excerpt from the 2.0 system or the original system?
    From his updated V2 system sent out last week

  14. #14

    Default

    here is an interesting thing JM sent out to

    http://www.******************.com/winnings.html

    ((sports betting champ))

    Last edited by russwlms; 11-23-09 at 02:53 PM.

  15. #15

    Default

    holy shit. of course, he doesn't mention that one lost series, wipes out your whole bankroll, which did happen last year with Sacramento.

  16. #16

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Quadropheniac View Post
    holy shit. of course, he doesn't mention that one lost series, wipes out your whole bankroll, which did happen last year with Sacramento.
    FYI 1 loss doesn't wipe out your whole bankroll.

    2 losses will still bring a nice profit for the season.

  17. #17

  18. #18

    Unhappy

    Quote Originally Posted by puppetm716 View Post
    FYI 1 loss doesn't wipe out your whole bankroll.

    2 losses will still bring a nice profit for the season.
    Your correct, one lose doesn't wipe out your bankroll. Attempting to win 7% of your bankroll per series will ONLY wipe out 66.5% of your bankroll!

    First bet to win 7%, must wager 11.9% (7% x -170 buying three points)

    Second wager, must risk 32.13% (11.9 + 7=18.9% x -170)

    Third wager, must risk 66.52% (32.13 + 7 = 39.13% x -170)

  19. #19

    Default

    You guys are idiots. Read the link he posted. It's profit margin is based on betting all the profits from the previous bets. Read before you talk, fools. I know what proper money management is and that's not what we were talking about idiots.

  20. #20

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDog10 View Post
    Your correct, one lose doesn't wipe out your bankroll. Attempting to win 7% of your bankroll per series will ONLY wipe out 66.5% of your bankroll!

    First bet to win 7%, must wager 11.9% (7% x -170 buying three points)

    Second wager, must risk 32.13% (11.9 + 7=18.9% x -170)

    Third wager, must risk 66.52% (32.13 + 7 = 39.13% x -170)
    This isn't the correct way to calculate how you would do the Morrison system.

    Please don't use the system to try to win 7% of your bankroll per series. You shouldn't even be betting 7% on a single regular game wager. Money Management people!

    At most! Maybe 5% if you're a gambler (which I hope most people here are NOT), safest to be around 2-3%.

    Then when you come up with that unit value based on your original bankroll, then try to win the same amount on all series.

    Based on UNITS, you should lose 17 units for every series loss.

    There are 84 series this year by the end of March.

    You should be able to withstand 4 losses and still make a profit.

    80 units - 17(4) units = 12 units

    and please DON"T increase your unit value as the season goes on. It is tempting, but if you suffer a loss later on an increased unit value, you're margin for error will be dimnished.

    p.s. This isn't an official guide to the Morrison system or anything. It's just my 2 cents on how it should be used in baskets.

  21. #21

    Default

    Vegasfred,

    I agree with you 7% of bankroll is way too much to wager, however, the 7% of bankroll number is the number Morrison used in his example of how much you can make using his system.

    Also, not sure how you come up with 17 units. Based on units, you would lose 12.393 units for a losing NBA series.

    A bet -- wager 1.7 units to win 1 unit, loses
    B bet -- wager 4.59 units to win 2.7 units (1 + loss of 1.7), loses
    C bet -- wager 12.393 units to win 7.29 units (1 + loss of 1.7 + loss of 4.59)

  22. #22

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDog10 View Post
    Vegasfred,

    I agree with you 7% of bankroll is way too much to wager, however, the 7% of bankroll number is the number Morrison used in his example of how much you can make using his system.

    Also, not sure how you come up with 17 units. Based on units, you would lose 12.393 units for a losing NBA series.

    A bet -- wager 1.7 units to win 1 unit, loses
    B bet -- wager 4.59 units to win 2.7 units (1 + loss of 1.7), loses
    C bet -- wager 12.393 units to win 7.29 units (1 + loss of 1.7 + loss of 4.59)
    You have to add the losses from all three bets.
    1.7 +4.59 + 12.393 = 18.7

    Actually I was wrong. You lose ~19 units per series loss ( I like to round to whole units).

    Still you can lose 4 series and be up 4 units

  23. #23

Top