Players NFL Sunday 10* on Baltimore on Nov 22nd
Scott Rickenbach’s NFL 10* (Top Play) Baltimore Ravens (+) vs Indianapolis @ 1 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

The Colts are the only undefeated team in the AFC and yet they opened up as an underdog here. Sure enough, the money has been flowing in on Indianapolis and this line has been driven up as high as the Colts -2.5 as of game day morning. This is why we’ve waited so long to post this big play but it’s one we’ve had our eyes on ever since the Colts very fortunate win over New England last week. The Patriots, especially with coach Bill Belichick’s poor late-game decision, basically handed the Colts the game on a silver platter. Note that Indy was dominated by New England for much of that game. Hence, the corresponding line value this week as all most bettors see is a Colts team that remains undefeated. Indianapolis was down by 17 points to New England both in the 2nd and 4th quarters of yesterday’s game. Then, even with less than three minutes to go in the game, the Pats still led by 13 points before the collapse and the gift! The Patriots gained 477 yards in the game and they held the ball for 60% of the game. The Colts have had time of possession problems in many key games this season – remember Monday night at Miami? The point is that this also wears a team down and now Indy has to face a very physical Ravens defense.

Yes we are aware of the injury to Terrell Suggs of the Ravens but note that the Colts have numerous injuries on defense and, even if some of their injured players are able to go here, they are not 100% and Baltimore’s physical style – even on offense – will punish the Colts. Yes, Indy has had great success on the road this season but the Ravens are 3-1 ATS at home and they also are coming off of an easy, dominating win over the Browns on Monday. Even though the Colts had an extra day of rest, compared to Baltimore coming off of a short week, there is no doubt that it took a lot more for Indianapolis to get their win over the Patriots compared to the Ravens shutout win over the Browns in Cleveland. Grab the motivated home dog here and, trust us, the books had the Ravens installed as the favorite over an undefeated team for a reason! We’ll grab the points just in case but the Ravens physical style absolutely should lead to an outright win as the Colts defense continues to get worn down. The Colts gave up nearly 500 yards last week to the Pats and nearly 400 yards to the Texans the prior week. After three straight home games for Indy – with their defense being stretched out in the last two – they are in trouble as they take to the road for just the second time since October 11th! Play Baltimore plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection