The Jets are fading fast after taking care of the Patriots 16-9 in the earlier meeting. New York has dropped 5 of their last 6 games with the only victory coming against the Raiders. They have lost two key cogs along the defensive line which has really slowed down their pass rush. Offensively New York has struggled a bit against questionable defenses. In fact, if you look at whom the Jets have played you can make a case that the offense is actually worse than the numbers would show.
The Patriots are off an embarrassing loss last week to the Colts. They had that game firmly in their grasp and let it slip away. Now they are back home looking to avenge the earlier loss to the hated Jets. Wes Welker didn't play in that meeting and his absence was a major reason why Brady struggled. That and it being his second game back since his season ending injury. New England has been money in the bank off a loss under Belichick. This year alone they covered the spread by margins of 12 and 50 points after suffering defeats.
New York has played the Patriots tough the past few seasons but this is a game in which New England will run up the score if given the chance. Remember that 59-0 victory over Tennessee earlier this season.
Bryan Leonard 11/22
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