View New Posts
  1. #1

  2. #2

    Default

    4-Unit Play #711 Take Sacramento +11 ½ Over Houston (8:30p.m. EST, Saturday)
    These two teams played recently in Sac Town and the Kings won handily, with a 9-point victory. Really not understanding the Houston love here by the oddsmakers. The change in venue represents a 20+ swing in the line? (Sac’s margin of victory and tonight’s line). These teams are pretty close record wise and both had pretty low expectations going into the season. Both have done really well against the number but it seems as if Houston is getting more respect from the betting public while the Kings are still under the radar. They covered last night as DD dogs in Dallas, losing by only two. Both teams come in on a back-to-back and Sacramento was actually in the state of Texas while the Rockets had to travel all the way from Atlanta. Both team’s offensive and defensive numbers are pretty similar and we just think this Sacramento team is underestimated and that they play hard like they have been and keep this game close and within double digits.

    3-Unit Play #705 Take Atlanta/New Orleans OVER 203 ½ (8 p.m. EST, Saturday)
    These two teams played a week ago today and the pace was pretty constant as there was only one quarter where under 50 points was scored (they combined for 49 in the third quarter). In that game both teams shot poorly (around 60%) from the charity stripe and the odds of averages say those numbers go up tonight. The Hornets are just lousy defensively this season and they have allowed 107 PPG in their last five contests with all but one team eclipsing the century mark. Atlanta averages 107 PPG this season and we feel like they will push the pace here as that recipe was a success last time out as they scored a 23 point win. Since this game is in New Orleans it could be closer and that would give us more of a chance for fouling at the end of the game, which could help push this one over if it were close.

    3-Unit Play #707 Take Milwaukee/Memphis UNDER 196 (8 p.m. EST, Saturday)
    As we wrote last night as we cashed the Memphis/Philly OVER play, Memphis gives up 117 per night defensively in road games. However, they have been much better in home games, allowing just 95 PPG on average. Milwaukee has been a defensive team this year and their offense hasn’t been too explosive for the most part. But when they go on the road they REALLY struggle on offense, scoring only 85 PPG in road contests this season (compared to 100 PPG at home). To compensate they have played much better defense on the road (85 PPG allowed in road contests compared to 94 PPG at home). We know a lot of those numbers probably have a lot to do with opponents played but those are some pretty glaring stats for a line this high. The under is 7-1 in Memphis’ last eight home games and we expect them to ratchet up the defensive intensity tonight once again.
    Last edited by betomatic; 11-21-09 at 01:56 PM. Reason: added plays
    Points Awarded:

    swedishpokerstar gave betomatic 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Questra gave betomatic 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    DanOmaha gave betomatic 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Thirsty P gave betomatic 3 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    smallbluedonkey gave betomatic 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    jcygts6 gave betomatic 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    betting gave betomatic 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Jim87675 gave betomatic 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  3. #3

    Default

    Thx for posting betomatic, will put a unit on each

  4. #4

  5. #5

  6. #6

  7. #7
    jcygts6's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-05-09
    Posts: 2,974
    Message Me

    Default

    started serving kool-aid again
    1150pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    5/11/2012

    1262pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    5/17/2012


  8. #8

    Default

    Does Doc have an overall record and/or winning percentage based on the strength of his plays in units(3 unit, 4 unit, 5 unit)?

  9. #9

    Default

    The higher the units, the more faith he has in the play I think 8 units is his max

  10. #10

    Default

    That's a given - he was wondering if anybody had Doc's record broken down by units bet.

Top