Docs NBA 11/20
4-Unit Play #503 Take Memphis/Philadelphia OVER 194 (7 p.m. EST, Friday)
Memphis is one of the worst defensive teams in the league in all major categories. They are No. 27 in the league for points allowed, giving up 107+ per night, and No. 28 for defensive shooting percentage, allowing opponents to hit 50% of their shots. Their offense has been pretty efficient, however, and they are No. 9 for offensive FG%, hitting 47% of their own shots. The most glaring stat to us, however, is the number of points the Grizzlies give up on the road. They allow 117 PPG in road games this season and they have given up 104 PPG or more in EVERY road game and all but one opponent has put up 113 or more on them in road contests this season. We think Philly knows the key to winning this game is attacking the basket. Philly has played a lot of defensive teams thus far and their offensive numbers have struggled as a result and that is why we are getting a nice number here tonight.
4-Unit Play #512 Take Oklahoma City -3 ½ Over Washington (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
Love this slim line for what we think is a much better team in Oklahoma City. Washington has stunk on the road and they have gone 0-3 in road games since an opening night win against a Dallas team that was shaking off the offseason rust. All their road losses have come by double digits. This team’s stock is high right now since they beat Cleveland their last time out but before that they lost six straight and failed to cover in any of those games. OKC is once again a team that is underrated by the oddsmakers and general betting public. We are not a big fan of them laying a lot of points but this is a very manageable line and we think that they pull away in the fourth quarter for an easy win.
3-Unit Play #509 Take Orlando/Boston UNDER 192 (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
Four straight meetings have gone under the posted total and we think that is the direction this one goes in tonight. Orlando is a jekyl and hyde type of team that can engage in a defensive battle or run and gun at fast tempo. Even though Boston is No. 2 in the NBA for points allowed they are the best defensive team in the NBA and we feel they are going to set a defensive tone in this one and we see this game as a hard-fought defensive battle. Boston, on offense, is No. 1 for field goal percentage, hitting more than 50% of their shots, but they are only No. 17 in scoring with 99 PPG. That is the sign of a great under team as it is one that forces opponents to play their game. That’s why the under is 11-5 in Boston’s last 16 overall.
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Originally Posted by Fizz
