[saints7011]

5-Unit Play. Take #734 Ohio State (+2.5) over North Carolina (9:20 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)
Note: This is my Game of the Week. Bump up to a 5.5-Unit Play.

About a month before college basketball season even started I e-mailed a couple clients and told them that I already knew what my November Game of the Month was going to be: either Utah State over Utah or Ohio State over North Carolina. I wussed out with Utah State yesterday, only bringing in 3.5 Units with their (lucky) cover against Utah. And today I’m not going with my Game of the Month but I am upping the ante here with Ohio State. I think the Buckeyes win this one outright (they better) and I think that right now they are the better team. One thing worries me: the ACC’s dominance over the Big Ten in recent years. But that’s it. Other than that I think that this one is all Ohio State. Winning in college basketball is all about guard play. And in this matchup it’s not even close. Ohio State has four wings – Even Turner, Jon Diebler, William Buford, David Lighty and Jermaine Simmons – that are better than the guards the UNC will trot out. I have watched each of North Carolina’s games so far this year and this is what I’ve found: they aren’t very good. Yeah, they have a ton of size in the post. And yes, they have a load of McDonald’s All-Americans. But freshmen generally aren’t any good when they come into college. At least not early. Ohio State is a very veteran team, with all but Buford on the wing being juniors and seniors. Turner may be the best player on the floor. And the best thing about those Buckeye wings is that they are all big, running between 6-5 and 6-7. I think that will help them compete on the boards against the bigger, stronger Tar Heels, while still maintaining a superior edge in overall shooting and ball handling. UNC simply lost too much from last year, and the guys that they have just don’t have the experience to be trusted in big games, on a national stage, against equal competition. Thad Matta has proven that he is a big game coach and that his system is capable of knocking off top competition. Also, it was nearly two years ago to the day that Ohio State went to MSG and carved up Syracuse, 79-65, in this very tournament as a two-point underdog. Lighty, Turner and Diebler each played in that game. I expect a similar output. The books are stuck in this game. They have no choice but to make UNC the favorite because, well, they’re UNC, the defending champions, and likely to get a majority of the public backing. But I think the oddsmakers and sharps all know that Ohio State is further along right now and ready to pull an upset. We’ve already seen a bunch of Top 10 teams almost fall early in the year (because they are overrated). I think this time it happens. Ohio State wins. By a lot.


2-Unit Play. Take #737 Eastern Kentucky (+16) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)
Note: Play at +14.5 and bump to +2.5-Unit Play. We don't change our lines after they are posted, but I have noticed that this line has moved since I posted it.


2-Unit Play. Take #721 Boston (+16) over Kansas State (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)
Note: Play at +15 and bump to 2.5-Unit Play. We don't change our lines after they are posted, but I have noticed that this line has moved since I posted it.


2-Unit Play. Take #725 UNC-Wilmington (+12) over Penn State (4 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)
Note: Play at +11.5. We don't change our lines after they are posted, but I have noticed that this line has moved since I posted it.


2-Unit Play. Take #720 Mississippi (-9) over Indiana (5 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)
Note: Lower to 1.5-Unit Play if you can't get better than -10.5. This game should be a blowout, but that's a pretty significant movement after I have posted.


1.5-Unit Play. Take #732 California (-2) over Syracuse (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #727 South Florida (-1) over Davidson (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #707 Richmond (-4.5) over William & Mary (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 19)


1-Unit Play. Take #709 Long Beach State (+15.5) over Notre Dame (7:30 p.m., Thurs., Nov. 19)


Note: Because of some line movements the teaser spreads I have here may not match up with your own. Play what you have at your books, even if they don't match up. I like all of the sides that we are on. If there are grading issues and if the line movements come into play then we will deal with it then.

2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #720 Mississippi (-4) over Indiana (5 p.m.) AND Take #734 Ohio State (+7.5) over North Carolina (9:20 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #724 Miami (-6) over Tulane (1:30 p.m.) AND Take #725 UNC-Wilmington (+17) over Penn State (4 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #709 Long Beach State (+20.5) over Notre Dame (7:30 p.m.) AND Take #729 LaSalle (+12) over South Carolina (9:30 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #707 Richmond (Pk) over William & Mary (7 p.m.) AND Take #721 Boston (+20.5) over Kansas State (7:30 p.m.)

[19th Hole]

Thanks for Robert.
I like it when touts include the rotation number.

Good Luck!!

[PhatBaztard]

Again, thanks!

[Vesuvius]

damn, if the game of the week hit he would of had another huge day.

[tesla83]

Yesterday he hits for 3 1/2 star win, today he pulls out another 3 1/2 star win,

A lot of wins, but that 5* flop does not do the day justice.

W = 10 1/2 *
L = 7*

the great thing is he hit 3 teasers for 6* and loses only that 1* so I got to give him props for that