6* Widow Wise guy 2009 AFC GAME OF THE YEAR on Jets -6.5(-116 at 5dimes)
The Jets have had a bye week to steam over their loss to the Miami Dolphins, 25-30, last time out. New York completely dominated every phase of that game except for special teams, where they allowed two 100-plus kickoff returns to Ted Ginn Jr. They also gave up a touchdown to Miami's defense on a fumble from RB Shonn Greene. New York outgained Miami 378-104 in that game, not numbers you would expect to see from the losing team. We strongly feel the Jets will put everything together this week and play a complete 48-minute ball game while dominating all 3 phases Sunday against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars are 4-4 this season, but 3 of those wins have come at home against the Titans, Rams and Chiefs who own a combined 4-20 record. The Jaguars have really struggled on the road, going 1-3 away from home which includes a 41-0 loss at Seattle and a 13-30 loss at Tennessee in their most recent road trips. This is a must-win game for the Jets if they want to make any run at the playoffs, and coming off a bye week New York will piece together their best effort of the season Sunday. The Jets are a stellar 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games off a home loss since 1992, covering the spread 87% of the time in this spot. The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons. The Jets won't need to throw the ball much Sunday to run away with this game. Jacksonville allows 157 rushing yards/game on the road and 4.4 yards/carry. The Jets average 178 rushing yards/game and 4.8 yards/carry this season, so they should have no problem moving the ball on the ground all game long against this soft Jaguars' front seven. In 4 road games this season, the Jaguars have been outscored by an average of 13.2 points/game. Take the Jets and lay the points. (This is still a 6* Play at -7, and if the line jumps any higher then we recommend buying down to 7).
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on N ew O rle ans S ain ts -13.5(+104 at 5dimes)
New Orleans is going to score nearly every time they get the ball, and St. Louis won't be able to score enough points to keep up with them and stay within two touchdowns. The Saints have actually played their best football away from home, going 3-0 and outscoring their opponents by 19.3 points/game. They are scoring 40.3 points/game away from home and allowing 21.0 points/game on the road. Their 3 road wins have come at Philly 48-22, at Buffalo 27-7 and at Miami 46-34. All 3 of those teams are better than the Rams, which obviously isn't saying much since St. Louis is 1-7 this season. St. Louis is 0-3 at home, losing by 27.7 points/game. They are scoring just 11.0 points/game at home and allowing 38.7 points/game. They lost to Green Bay 17-36, to Minnesota 10-38 and to the Colts by a final of 6-42. We see no reason the Saints shouldn't be able to blow out the Rams like those three teams already have, and New Orleans should really be more than a two-touchdown favorite Sunday. The Saints are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Take New Orleans and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on M inn e so ta Vi kin gs -16(-110 at betus)
Minnesota already beat the Lions 27-13 on the road earlier this season. They actually trailed in that game 10-0 before coming back to cover. Now they get the Lions at home, and this game has an even bigger blowout written all over it. The Vikings are coming off a bye, so they have had time to get healthy and should be very hungry to hit the field at home Sunday after having now playing last weekend. Detroit continues finding ways to get blown out. The Lions actually led Seattle 17-0 last week before getting outscored 32-3 the rest of the way to lose by 12 points. The Lions are now 0-4 on the road this season, losing by 20.0 points/game. So even with this big spread, there is still plenty of value with the Vikings. Plus, Minnesota will remember their slow start at Detroit earlier this season and will make a point to get off to a fast start this time around to put the Lions away early. The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. No letdown here at Minnesota returns from their bye week and dominates from start to finish. Take the Vikings and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on D en ver B ron cos -3(-110 at bodog)
After back-to-back losses, the Broncos are finally starting to show value again this week as they travel to Washington. Had they not been blown out the last 2 weeks by the Ravens and Steelers, the Broncos would be closer to a 7-point favorite against Washington this week. Their struggles the last 2 games places all value with Denver this week as they are clearly the better team than the Redskins, and that will show on the field Sunday. Washington has now lost 4 straight games, including 2 home losses to the Chiefs and Eagles by 8 points or more. The Redskins are only scoring 12.2 points/game at home this season, and now Clinton Portis is out with a concussion, taking away their best weapon on offense. Denver's defense has been stout, holding opponents to just 15.5 points/game. Points will certainly be hard to come by for Washington again this week, especially against a Denver team that is very hungry following 2 straight losses. It's easy to see which team will be more motivated. Players in Washington are just looking forward to the end of the season after all of the negative publicity they have been getting through the first 9 weeks en route to a 2-6 record, while Denver has playoff aspirations and really needs this win Sunday to get back on track. The Redskins have really struggled against AFC foes as well. Washington is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Denver is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992. Though their offense has struggled the last 2 weeks, Denver won't need many points Sunday to cover this spread as they face one of the worst offenses in the league. Take Denver and lay the points.
Shoot the BLACK WIDOW went 3-3 on Saturday in the COllege,,,,,so I think I have to take these selections with a grain of salt,,,,and just watch to see how HE/SHE does.
Black Widow 11/15 GOY
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How good are these plays anyway
