Jim Feist's 15* Sunday Pro Parlay of the Month
11/15 01:05 PM PT / 4:05 PM ET
NFL (231) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at (232) OAKLAND RAIDERS
Take: (231) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Reason: Kansas City (1-7 SU/3-5 ATS) had a terrible first half of the campaign. KC has new looks everywhere after trading TE Tony Gonzalez, bringing in a new coach (Todd Haley), a new GM and a new starting QB in Matt Cassell (10 TDs, 5 INTs). They finally tired of RB Larry Johnson, who wasn't doing anything anyway, and cut him. Chiefs coach Todd Haley continues emphasizing that the team cannot continue hurting itself with negative-yardage plays, such as sacks, penalties and losses. There are some signs of improvement, as Cassell had 253 yards passing in a 26-20 OT loss to the Cowboys, and they had a win, 14-6. With left tackle Branden Albert and center Rudy Niswanger back in the lineup, Cassel threw for 262 yards and two scores -- both to newcomer Chris Chambers. Chambers caught three passes for 70 yards in his Chiefs' debut. The Raiders (2-6 SU/3-5 ATS) only compete when the other team is more inept than they are. They followed a stunning win (by blitzing all the time) over the Eagles, 13-9, with a 38-0 home loss to the Jets, giving up 314 yards rushing, and a loss to the Chargers before their bye week. They are 26th in total defense, dead last in total offense. QB JaMarcus Russell (2 TDs, 9 picks) is not an NFL quarterback. Russell has committed 14 turnovers and completed just 48 percent of his passes in a horrific start to his third NFL season. He has been booed heavily in the past four home games and even benched for the first time of his career when Tom Cable sent in Bruce Gradkowski. The Raiders have lost four of the last six games by at least 20 points and failed to reach 200 yards of offense in four of them. In their only other win, 13-10 at KC, they were outgained 409-166! Raiders coach Tom Cable said he can see the mountaintop from his midseason perch, but he should be warned: That's Mount Davis he's staring up at, and it can blow at any time! Oakland is 0-6 ATS the last 6 at home against KC. Take the Chiefs who have a huge edge here at QB.
11/15 10:00 AM PT / 1:00 PM ET
NFL (227) ATLANTA FALCONS at (228) CAROLINA PANTHERS
Take: (228) CAROLINA PANTHERS
Reason: The Falcons (5-3 SU/6-2 ATS) have excellent balance on offense behind QB Matt Ryan (13 TDs, 8 picks), RB Michael Turner, WR Roddy White and newcomer 33-year old TE Tony Gonzalez. The defense has been a concern, replacing 5 starters, and they rank 28th overall. The defense had totaled only 10 sacks until getting 5 against Washington. Carolina (3-5 SU/3-5 ATS) has had its problems, but they are riding a 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS run. The Panthers have talent on offense, with WRs Steve Smith, plus RBs Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams. They got the ground game going in a 34-21 win at Arizona, with 270 yards rushing, and Sunday in a 30-20 loss at New Orleans. DeAngelo Williams rushed for 149 yards and two TDs, and Carolina gained 182 yards on the ground. The run defense has added 340-pound DT Hollis Thomas, a 14-year veteran, and that will be a plus against the Atlanta ground game. This is a division matchup that always provides lots of competition between these teams. Hard to ignore how well the Panthers have started playing, and against the Atlanta defense this Panther team should be able to run the ball at will which will take pressure of their mistake prone QB. Take the home team as a dog here on Sunday.