[hartalino]

Huge release today, anyone have it?

[mp5070]

Will have it soon, Points would be great!

Thanks.

[hartalino]

Sounds good.

[soccerplayer]

Stephen Nover
Sunday Sweep
75 Dime SAINTS
30 Dime DOLPHINS
15 Dime OVER Chiefs/Raiders

75 Dime SAINTS - There's a myth that you can't get value when laying double-digits in the NFL.

I find plenty of value laying two touchdowns with the Saints against the Rams in this matchup. It doesn't matter that St. Louis was idle last week or is at home.

There's no comparison between these two clubs. The Saints certainly aren't going to be bothered being on the road against a team getting luke-warm crowd support, while playing in their natural dome setting on carpet.

The Rams have eight touchdowns in eight games. The Saints have scored seven touchdowns - on defense. The Rams are averaging 9.6 points per game. New Orleans is scoring at a record 37.9 points per clip. The Rams rank 29th in scoring defense. It's not hard to do the math.

Unlike some other first-year NFL coaches, I like the Rams' Steve Spagnuolo. But he inherited maybe the worst talent in the league. His battered secondary has no chance to contain Drew Brees and his multiple targets and improved running attack. There are reasons why St. Louis has won only one of its last 18 games.

The Saints own huge edges at nearly every position. Steven Jackson is the Rams' only playmaker, but he's not much help when his team falls behind big. Jackson is having a good year statistically, but has managed only one touchdown with defenses keying on him and his team constantly trailing by wide margins.

Marc Bulger has been no help with a 68.2 quarterback rating and only three touchdown passes.

Sean Payton has a history of crushing inferior opponents. This is just the Saints' third game against a bad team. In the other two, they beat the Lions by 18 points and the Bills by 20 on the road.

The Saints are 16-6 (72 percent) against the spead the past 22 times they've been chalk.

30 Dime DOLPHINS - The Buccaneers' surprising upset win at home against Green Bay last Sunday in Josh Freeman's NFL debut as a starting quarterback has helped keep this line down.

That's fine with me because I see the Dolphins, a much superior team, burying the Buccaneers. Keep in mind about last week that Green Bay imploded against the Buccaneers, giving up a touchdown on an interception return, a touchdown on a blocked punt and another score following a long kickoff return.

The Dolphins aren't going to self-destruct like that at home against a weak Tampa Bay defense that ranks 30th against the run and 29th overall.

Miami has a run-oriented, physical offense that can pound the undersized Buccaneers while also effectively keeping them off balance with trickery from the wildcat formation.

The Dolphins are just 3-5 this season after going 11-5 last year because their schedule has been much stronger and they've faced five elite quarterbacks - Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Philip Rivers, Drew Brees and Matt Ryan.

Freeman hardly fits into in that class. This will be his first road start. He's not an NFL starting-caliber quarterback yet. This game will show that. Freeman's preseason rating was 41 percent and that was operating against vanilla second and third string defenses.

Raheem Morris is overmatched as a head coach. The Buccaneers just ended their 11-game losing streak. They don't know how to handle success, which hasn't come often since they are 3-10 against the spread in their past 13 games.

15 Dime OVER Chiefs/Raiders - Statistically speaking, Kansas City and Oakland don't offer much in the way of offense. They rank in the bottom three in total offense. The Raiders average less than 10 points per game.

That's why the Linesmaker has set an 'over/under' of 36 1/2 on this matchup. Going over this total isn't difficult with good offenses or bad defenses.

The Chiefs rank 30th in total defense and 30th versus the pass. They have the second-fewest sacks in the NFL with 10. That's a bad defense.

I'm not a fan of JaMarcus Russell. I don't know anyone who is. But the Raiders have speed at receiver that can take advantage of Kansas City's slow secondary. The Raiders also are finally getting back some of their key offensive players following their bye week. The list includes running back Darren McFadden, supposed No. 1 wide receiver Chaz Schilens perhaps their best offensive lineman, Robert Gallery.

McFadden and wideouts Louis Murphy and Darrius Heyward-Bey are all speedsters in the 4.4 to 4.3 40-yard speed range. Kansas City's secondary can't match that.

The Chiefs piled up 409 yards when they met the Raiders in Week 2. Since then, Kansas City has opened its offense more using no-huddle and cutting Larry Johnson. Jamaal Charles and Kolby Smith bring an outside dimension to the Chiefs' running attack something they lacked with the washed-up Johnson.

Kansas City's offensive line also has gotten healthier with the return of left tackle Branden Albert and center Rudy Niswanger. The Chiefs have added veteran Chris Chambers to their receiving corps. He gives Matt Cassel another tall red zone target to go with reliable Dwayne Bowe.

The Chiefs had a good week of practice. Their coach, Todd Haley, said it was their best Friday practice of the season. That could translate into enough points to help get over this low total.