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Point Train Football - 9-Unit GOM - New Orleans (-13.5) over St. Louis

9-Unit Game of the Month
New Orleans (-13.5) vs. St. Louis (@STL)
Sunday, November 15 – 12:00 PM CST

Undefeated New Orleans travels to 1-7 St. Louis and is less than two touchdown favorites?! Sign me up! St. Louis got their first victory against the Detroit Lions in their last game. In that game, the Rams scored a touchdown on a fake field goal and scored a touchdown with less than 2 minutes left to get the 7-point victory over the fellow 1-win Lions. This is a no-brainer. Take the NFL’s best offense against a the Rams’ #26 offense and #27 defense in a blowout.

New Orleans is 0-2 ATS in their last two games, winning by 8 and 10 points against well-known division opponents. St. Louis and New Orleans haven’t played since ’07 and are both completely different teams in 2009. The Saints have the #1 ranked offense in the NFL and averages 427 yards and 38 points per game this season. That’s not good news for the Rams, who rank near the bottom of every major defensive category this season.

In similar situations, St. Louis has faced three top-tier quarterbacks so far this season (GB –Rodgers, MIN- Favre, IND- Manning) and lost big each time. The Rams lost those three games by an average score of 39-11. Manning, Favre, and Rodgers completed 66% of their passes with 6 TD’s and 1 pick. More importantly, they were able to average 132 rushing YPG also.

New Orleans’ defense has been almost as impressive as their offense this season. The Saints ‘D’ has scored a touchdown in every game but one this season. Darren Sharper is tied for the league lead in interceptions and is one of the candidates for NFL defensive MVP midway through the season. The Saints are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. St. Louis is just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 home games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. Go with the Saints in a blowout.