Marc Lawrence |
Revenge GOY
CFB Side Sat, 11/14/09 - 8:00 PM

triple-dime bet 161 Notre Dame 7.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 162 Pittsburgh
Analysis: Play On: Notre Dame (Game 161)
Note: After last week's upset loss to Navy, this becomes a huge game for the Irish, who have won six of the last seven SU on this field. In the 19-game history of this series, the Panthers have only been favored three times and lost all three games outright. Pitt has also not fared well as home favorites of less than 8 points, posting a 2-6 ATS log. head coach Dave Wannstedt has been outclassed as a home favorite versus .666 or greater opposition, checking in with an awful 1-6 ATS log. The Irish, led by probable 1st -team All-Americans Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate, continue to dominate the stats category (16-3 L19, including 5-1 last six. ) The Dame, looking to avenge a four-overtime home loss to the Panthers last year, is 11-1 ATS as RD’s of 8 or less points. From our powerful database we note the following: road dogs of 21 or less points off a SU loss to a military school in which they lost to the spread by more than seven or more points who allow 29.5 or less PPG on the season are 12-0 ATS since 1980 when facing a .700 or greater opponent. In addition, home favorites of four or more points riding a 3-0 SU and ATS win streak who won the previous two games at home that allow more than 17 PPG on the season are 0-11 ATS since 1980 if the last win was by less than 30 points and their opponent lost its last game by 24 or less points. Look for the Irish to get their revenge and back on the win track here today in a game in which an upset would be no surprise. We recommend a 4-unit play on Notre Dame.