B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W is eg uy B ears/49 ers Th ursd ay Ni gh t S LAUG HT ER on C hic ago B ea rs +3(+112 at 5dimes)
We'll take the points here Thursday as the Bears travel to San Francisco to take on a 49ers' team that has lost 4 straight games. Chicago is sitting at 4-4 and still has a shot to finish the season strong and catch a wild card spot, while San Francisco at 3-5 doesn't have a whole lot to play for as they enter the second half of the season. What seemed to be one of the best defenses in the league to start the season, the 49ers' stop unit has been absolutely torched in their last 4 games. With starting CB's Nate Clements and Walt Harris out due to injury, teams have been able to move the ball through the air at will on this 49ers' secondary. They allowed 329 passing yards to Matt Ryan in a 10-45 home loss, 246 passing yards to Matt Schaub in a road loss, and 349 yards to Peyton Manning in another road loss. Tennessee beat them in a variety of different ways last week in a 27-34 home loss. A big reason they scored 34 points was due to 4 turnovers by this 49ers' offense, including 3 interceptions from Alex Smith. San Francisco is in shambles right now at the QB position. Smith makes more plays, but he also makes more mistakes. They have committed 11 turnovers in their last 4 games. Chicago has an opportunistic defense that has forced 2 or more turnovers in 5 of their last 7 games. Both teams are pretty evenly matched defensively, but the edge has to go to the Bears on offense. Chicago has a new-found passing game under Jay Cutler, as they throw for 242 passing yards/game. Cutler should have a field day against this 49ers' defense that allows 241 passing yards/game on the season, and whose pass defense has really been awful of late. Cutler will make more plays than Smith against a beat-up 49ers' secondary, and that will be the difference in this game. The Bears are a PERFECT 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Chicago gets a much-needed win Thursday to get back in the playoff hunt. Take the Bears and the points.
5* W ise gu y US F/R utg ers E SP N B ig E ast B rawl on R utg ers -2(-110 at bodog)
These are two very evenly matched teams as Rutgers and South Florida both own identical 6-2 records. The advantage has to go to the home squad in the Scarlet Knights Thursday as they pick up that signature win they've been craving. Knowing that Rutgers dominated USF 46-19 on the road last season also gives plenty of reason to like the Scarlet Knights Thursday. USF hasn't changed much from last year, except now they are playing without starting QB Matt Grothe. This Rutgers' defense is one of the best in the Big East, and they are very opportunistic. The Scarlet Knights have forced 2 or more turnovers in 6 straight games. During this 6-game stretch, they have forced a total of 21 turnovers for an average of 3.5 turnovers/game. South Florida has committed 2 or more turnovers in 4 of their last 5 games, being very sloppy with the ball. They have only forced 3 turnovers in their last 3 games. In a game between two evenly matched teams, turnovers normally decide the outcome. With the evidence provided, Rutgers will likely force USF and freshman QB BJ Daniels into more mistakes and that will be the difference in this game. Tom Savage has been very efficient for Rutgers, throwing 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception this season. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. This hasn't been a very pleasant stage for South Florida to say the least. USF is 4-11 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. The Scarlet Knights are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Take Rutgers and lay the points.
Black Widow 11/12
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