Marc Lawrence NCAAF 11/12
Marc Lawrence
Thursday, November 12
MIAMI OHIO over Bowling Green by 1
The 4-5 Falcons kept their bowl hopes alive with a come-from-behind victory
at Buffalo last Tuesday and if they want to keep it going they’ll have to do
it against an opponent who they’ve only defeated once since 1997. The 1-9
RedHawks have dominated the series, winning 9 of the last 10 SU and 8 of 10
on the ATS scoreboard, including all four SU and ATS as dogs. While the Falcons have been money in the bank on the road against losing opposition with a 10-0
SU and 9-1 ATS log, and are 5-1 ATS away off a SU dog win, we’ll lean to the
hard-trying ‘Hawks who have cashed a trifecta by winning the last 3 games SU
in the series – all as pups. Make it a superfecta!
NO ILLINOIS over Ball St by 20
Gonad fans have been nothing but blue since starting the 2008 season 12-0.
A win over lowly Eastern Michigan, despite passing for only 1 yard, may have
halted the Cardinals’ 9-game losing skid (and HC Stan Parrish’s personal 32game
skein), but fans once again have their heads hanging low after a 20-17
Halloween home loss to Ohio U. And it only gets harder as they end their
season with the top three MAC West contenders, including this Thursday
night visit to Dekalb. Jerry Kill’s 6-3 bunch will be looking to avenge a 4514
thrashing from last season and they have the Huskies to do it. They’re
averaging over 30 PPG and their three losses were by a combined 12 points.
Talk about a “Ball-drop” – the Cardinals were installed as 8.5-point favorites
two years ago on this field and now arrive as 17-point dogs. Don’t let the
double-digits scare you, as the hosts are a solid 3-0 ATS in LHG’s versus
conference opponents. Our system book says NIU will go for the “Kill” and
so do we.
South Florida over RUTGERS by 3
The Big East joins the weekday mix but this one’s not worth missing ‘CSI’ or
‘The Mentalist’ over. Both squads will be bowling for the 5th straight season
but minor ones at best. Good and bad ATS numbers litter both sides as Greg
Schiano’s Scarlet Knights are a solid 7-1 ATS at home with rest but just 4-9 ATS at
home off a SU dog win. Meanwhile, Jim Leavitt’s crew enters with a steady 5-1
ATS mark off a SU dog win but a winless 0-4 ATS Thursday log. With the visitors
looking to avenge a 49-16 home loss last season – their worst ever in Big East
competition – we’ll jog with the Bulls tonight in New Brunswick.
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