Docs NBA 11/10
Doc's NBA - 11/10/09
3-Unit Play #503 Take Washington/Miami UNDER 187 ½ (7:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
These teams played last week and the total only got to 182, and that is with Miami shooting 49 percent from the floor and 57 percent from three-point land (8-of-14). Can’t imagine that lightning will strike twice against a Washington defense that is Top 10 in the NBA in defensive field goal percentage. But Miami is the really impressive defense here tonight. They are No. 1 in the NBA in both defensive field goal percentage and defensive three-point FG percentage and No. 6 in the league in points allowed. And the last game was on Washington’s turf where they are likely to have a better offensive performance. Also, Gilbert Arenas looks like he will play but may not be 100% and the loss of sharpshooter Mike Miller will limit the perimeter game for the Wiz Kids. Neither team is that explosive on offense and we see a game pretty similar to the one that was played last week and think there is value in this under.
3-Unit Play #506 Take Chicago +2 ½ Over Denver (8 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
Chicago has dominated the last two meetings between these clubs on their home court, blowing out the Nuggets but an average of 15 points on those games. The Bulls are 3-0 at home while the seemingly invincible Nuggets have all the sudden started to struggle on this long road trip now that they have started to face good teams (they lost two straight to Miami and Atlanta). The Bulls are always going to be worth a look at home getting points and we see this as a public line since the Nuggets have had a lot of buzz early this season. Chicago seems to always raise their level of play when the best teams come to town and we think the Bulls can win this one straight up and these points could come in handy if the game goes down to the wire.
3-Unit Play #511 Take Oklahoma City -1 ½ Over Sacramento (10 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
Oklahoma City has won three straight in this series and we love them tonight right under the key number of 2. These teams opened up the season against each other and the game was totally one-sided. And that was with Kevin Martin suiting up for the Kings – their best scorer is now on the injury list. These teams come in with similar records but OKC has had a much tougher road to get here and they are clearly the better team. The Thunder is playing some outstanding defense and we think that will be the difference tonight ad the Kings game is very one-dimensional (offense, offense, offense) and we just think OKC is very underrated tonight by the oddsmakers.
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