[MacAttack13]

Black Widow

6* Steelers/Broncos ESPN Monday Night MASSACRE on Pittsburgh -3(+105 at 5dimes)

The Steelers have won 4 straight games since losing back-to-back heartbreakers by 3 points to the Bears and Bengals on the road. They are hitting on all cylinders right now, and they have had 2 weeks to prepare for Denver as they come off a bye after beating Minnesota 27-17 last time out. Denver's undefeated run ended abruptly last week with a 7-30 road loss to Baltimore. Pittsburgh plays a similar game to the Ravens, and they'll dominate every phase of this one just like Baltimore did. Denver has yet to face the adversity of coming off a loss, and we don't see them handling it well Monday, especially against the defending Super Bowl champions. Denver is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. The Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons. Baltimore held Denver to 200 yards of total offense last week. Pittsburgh has the same kind of ferocious defense the Ravens offer, and they'll give Kyle Orton and this Broncos' offense fits all game long while Big Ben and the Steelers' offense keeps pouring on the points. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.

[tinfw17]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* N B A R oa d W arr ior of the W ee k on Phoenix Suns -2(-101 at 5dimes)

The Suns are 6-1 this season, which is impressive considering they have played 5 road games already where they are 4-1 away from home. This is a very generous line here Monday as the Suns travel to take on the 76ers as just a small road favorite. Phoenix is the superior team here, and they are having fun again playing their fast break style of basketball. Phoenix is averaging 109.7 points/game this season. The 76ers are 3-14 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996. Philly doesn't have the scorers to keep up with the Suns tonight. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 3 seasons. Steve Nash is running the show to perfection this year, averaging 17.9 points/game and 11.9 assists/contest. Take Phoenix and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Jazz/Knicks OVER 209.5(-110 at bookm)

This is a reasonably low total for a Knicks' home game, so we'll side with the OVER Monday when they host the Utah Jazz. Utah is a solid offensive team, averaging 101.5 points/game. But defensively, they have been sub-par this season in allowing 104.0 points/game. The Knicks have played in some shootouts at home this year where they average 106.0 points/game and allowing a ridiculous 113.2 points/contest. Utah is 17-3 OVER after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 209.5 points.


B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on T'Wolves/Warriors OVER 214.5(-110 at betus)

These are two of the worst defensive teams in the league squaring off Monday, and we'll take the OVER because of it. Minnesota is allowing 109.7 points/game on the road this season, and as bad as that number is, it's nothing compared to the Warriors. Golden State gives up 114.8 points/game this season, once again showing that they are the worst defensive team in the NBA. They are fun to watch because they always play in shootouts, and this will be another entertaining shootout Monday. The Warriors are 29-15 OVER (+12.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is 46-23 OVER (+20.7 Units) in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 23-9 in Warriors last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER 214.5 points.