[tinfw17]

**10-3 RUN** Burns #1 AFC GAME OF THE WEEK!

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos (NFL) - Nov 9, 2009 8:35 PM EST


Play Title **AWESOME 7-1 RUN** Burns #1 AFC GAME OF THE WEEK!
Play Selected Point Spread: -1/-121
I'm laying the points with PITTSBURGH. The Broncos come in with both the better record and home field advantage. However, they finally got exposed in last week's blowout loss at Baltimore. I had the Ravens in that game and I feel that the Broncos are in for another very tough match this week. The Steelers are off a big win over a strong Minnesota team. Including that victory, in addition to having won four straight overall, they're now a highly profitable 47-27-3 ATS (55-22 SU) their last 77 "Week 5 through Week 9" games. They've had a bye since then, too. Note that they're 4-0 SU the last four times they were coming off a bye, including a 38-10 road win last season. Both teams like to run the ball and both teams have been great at stopping the run. However, the Steelers are even stronger in that area. Indeed, they're #1 at stopping the run in the league (Broncos are #3) and they haven't allowed an opposing back to reach the 100 yard mark in their last 25 regular season games. Perhaps more importantly, the Steelers have the superior passing attack. Rothlisberger, a proven winner, currently ranks third in league with over 2000 passing yards already. The Steelers have won 22 of their last 30 Monday Night games while Denver has gone just 15-19 on Monday Nights during that time. I look for the champs, 14-6 their last 20 November games, to continue that primetime success, covering the small number along the way. *8 AFC GOW

[bigmike23]

[knon23]

ty

[jds07v]

very nice

[Hustler]

i feel like the general public doesnt see the big picture and thats why the line is going down, im on pittsburg all the way, they are coming off a bye week so travel fatigue shouldnt be a factor, even tho denver is at home travel fatigue mite BE a factor since they had to go out east to get beat up by balty last week meanwhile the steelers were already sitting in denver WAITING for the broncos to get beat and return home, Pittsburgh wins this game by DOUBLE DIGITS...........the public only sees denver as a 6-1 team that is at home and think its easy money cuz the broncos are getting points at home and have a better record, broncos have been one play away from losing almost every game they won..............dallas, new england, cincy and san diego, could have easily lost all 4 and been 2-5, on the other hand pittsburg has lost the close ones such as cincy and chicago where they blew a lead, they dont blow a lead tonite............ROLL STEELERS ROLL

[rdrunner466]

[Chaseblack]

Hustler...public is on Pitt around 67%.

[PhatBaztard]

I couldn't agree more Hustler. This was a game I circled on Wed and bet at -3 on Thurs. I put more on Pitt today at -2.5. Maybe I'm the sucker this time, but I think Steelers come in well prepared for this game. Steelers cover with ease, expose overrated Broncos team.

[birdman779]

hustler dope the line is goin down to get more dopes like u on pitt the percentage of money from the public is on pitt so rlm is in effect and the wise guy play is the broncos

[Saluki09]

hustler dope the line is goin down to get more dopes like u on pitt the percentage of money from the public is on pitt so rlm is in effect and the wise guy play is the broncos

[chase1]

The public is all over Pitt. Birdman is absolutely right about why the line is going down.

Don't even talk about how Denver could of lost those games. Only one did they get lucky and that was Cinci. Pitt should of lost against Minnesota and they got lucky. The shit evens out. Pitt has had only one impressive win and that was against SD and they almost tried to give that one away. Your so John Q. Public.

[birdman779]

under a good play im thinkin we could have a hell of a parlay

[Ericg320]

Monday night under. What could go wrong?

[Ericg320]

BURNS has 10* total on this. Anyone?

[LTrigger]

FYI Steelers have 4 starters on defense OUT for tonight's game.
Travis Kirschke Lawrence Timmons Ryan Clark
Aaron Smith