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    700-Unit NFL Absolute Lock - SAN FRANCISCO NINERS

    This line has intrigued me all week. The line has actually swung toward the Titans, which I don’t understand at all. So I’m taking the Niners at home in this one.

    Tennessee got its first win of the season last week with a 30-13 win over the Jaguars. But it had nothing to do with the QB switch from Kerry Collins to Vince Young, it had to do with RB Chris Johnson going out of his mind and rushing for 228 on 24 carries with long TD runs of 89 and 52 yards.

    Don’t read too much into that, the Tennessee defense isn’t getting any better any time soon. They are still allowing an NFL worst 30.1 points per game.

    San Francisco made the QB switch to Alex Smith last week and hung with the unbeaten Colts in Indianapolis, losing 18-14 but cashing as a 13-point road ‘dog. Yes, the Niners have lost three straight, but those are some tough losses. This is the best 3-4 team in the NFL and today they are going to jump all over the Titans.

    Tennessee is on ATS skids of 1-5 overall and 1-5 on the road. On the other side, the Niners are on ATS streaks of 5-1-2 overall, 4-1-1 at home and 5-1 in November contests.

    Look for Smith to find his favorite target, TE Vernon Davis, a few times today. Smith was 19 of 32 for 198 yards last week in Indy and he’s throwing the ball very well. The Niners have the league’s second-ranked rush defense, giving up 84.9 yards per game. So they will be focused on stopping Johnson and that Titans’ running game, leaving it up to Young to try and beat them – and he can’t.

    Lay the chalk with San Francisco in this one.



    100-Unit NFL Oddsmaker's Error - BALTIMORE RAVENS

    Baltimore showed some of its true colors last week when the defense stepped up and dominated the previously unbeaten Broncos 30-7, cashing as a 4 ½-point home favorite. This team still has the dominating defense it always has, but for some reason, they had three bad games and got people to start questioning them – big mistake.

    Today the Ravens are still a little angry over the upset Cincinnati pulled four weeks ago when the Bengals marched into Baltimore and won 17-14 as a nine-point underdog. One of the rare games this season where the Ravens’ offense didn’t show up.

    Joe Flacco has Baltimore’s offense fourth in the NFL in scoring at more than 28 points a game and seventh at 378.7 yards per contest. This kid seems to get it and will play the safe game today and not make any mistakes that will hurt his team. He knows the defense is coming out today to put on a show and he just needs to keep the car from crashing.

    The Ravens are on ATS streaks of 20-7 overall, 10-2 as a favorite, 13-4 after a straight-up win, 9-3 on the road and 7-3 when facing divisional foes. On the opposite side, the Bengals are on ATS slides of 2-8 after the bye week, 5-12 against AFC teams and 5-12 after they get an ATS win.

    Cincinnati crushed Chicago 45-10 last time it was on the field and got a monster day from Cedric Benson. He also ran over the Ravens defense four weeks ago. He isn’t going to do it again. This Ravens defense is too good. Play Baltimore and watch them win this one by 10.



    100-Unit NFL Sunday Night Sizzler - DALLAS COWBOYS

    This is a battle for the top spot in the NFC East and the 100th time these rivals have squared off. And there is still some lingering feelings from last year’s 44-6 thumping Philly gave Dallas last season with a wild-card playoff spot on the line.

    I’m grabbing the points with the Cowboys in this one because they’ve actually been more consistent this season than the Eagles.

    Dallas has scored impressive wins the last two weeks, beating Atlanta and Seattle at home and cashing in both contests. The Cowboys have won four of five with the only loss being the 17-10 defeat in Denver when they had chances late in the game to win that one.

    Philly beat up the Giants last week 40-17 but prior to that they looked flat in two road games at Oakland 13-9 loss as 14-point favorites) and on a Monday night at Washington, winning 27-17 as a nine-point favorite but scoring and doing nothing in the second half of that one.

    QB Tony Romo has led the Cowboys offense to second in the NFL at 411.1 yards per game, including a rushing attach that nets 147.6 yards each time out. This is a well-balanced offense that can keep a defense on its heels. Romo has to say away from the catastrophic mistake that surrenders not only a turnover, but six points.

    Defensively, the Cowboys give up 19.4 points a game (10th in the NFL) and the key tonight will be getting pressure on Eagles’ QB Donovan McNabb and making him uncomfortable in the pocket.

    The Cowboys have cashed in four straight November starts and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against NFC squads. In this Rivalry, the underdog is on a 7-2 ATS run and the road team has cashed in four of the last five matchups.

    Grab the points and play Dallas in this one.
    Points Awarded:

    Chaseblack gave FrankyRoosevelt 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


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