Philadelphia has been a steady -3 point favorite all week as this play is posted around 11 PM Eastern Saturday evening.
If the line remains -3 or moves to -3 1/2 or even -4, buy down the 1/2 point in each situation.
Thus, if you reduce the price to -2 1/2, and the Eagles prevail by just a field goal, you walk away with a win.
If the price is moved from -3 1/2 to -3, and the Eagles win by three, you get the push.
And if the price is moved from -4 to -3 1/2, a four-point win by the Eagles results in a win.
I do not anticipate this number moving past 4, but on the off chance it does move to -4 1/2, you would again buy down to -4 to assure yourself of a push should Philadelphia win by only four.
Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. In this case, however, it's a wise investment strategy, using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
Steve Budin 11/8
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