Lenny Del Genio

25* Division Game of the Year

Play on Houston at 1:00 ET. Winners of three straight and now 5-3 for the first time in franchise history, this is probably the biggest game in the history of the Texans franchise. Coming into the season big things were expected from the Houston offense and this unit has not disappointed. Behind QB Matt Schaub, who has more passing yards and TD's than Peyton Manning this year (played one more game), has directed the offense to a franchise-best four 400+ yard games. They have scored 24 or more points in six of their last seven games. Even with Steve Slaton struggling, the Texans have found another RB to produce in Ryan Moates, who had three touchdowns a week ago. Schaub, who has already set a career high with 16 TD's, completed 27 of 33 passes for 236 yards in his lone start vs. Indianapolis last year. He and the best WR in football, Andre Johnson, can take advantage of a Colts secondary that could be down as many as two cornerbacks here. Offense has always been a strength for this team, but where the true improvement has come has been in the trenches. No one questions the drafting of former #1 overall DC Mario Williams over Reggie Bush any longer. The run defense, formerly a real sore spot, has improved by leaps and bounds allowing just three yards per carry over its last five games. The Colts rank just 30th in rushing in the league and could be without Donald Brown for a second straight game. Last week, they ran for just 61 yards on 21 carries with just five of those going for four yards or more. This season, Indianapolis has just three runs of 20 ya‚rds or more! Much is being made of the fact that this head-to-head Rivalry has been so one-sided in front of the Colts. Yes, Indianapolis leads 13-1 in terms of straight up results, but at the betting window it's an even 7-7 split and last year's two games were decided by a total of 10 points, one of which came about due to a terrible 4th quarter effort from jettisoned Texans QB Sage Rosenfels. Overall, Houston is on a 7-2 ATS run in division games while the Colts are just 1-4 ATS L5 when hosting AFC South foes. Indianapolis has to lose a regular season game sooner or later (won 15 straight) and even if they don't here, we'll be glad to grab all these points. Houston is our 25* AFC South Game of the Year