The Aggies are a great play Saturday as just a field goal favorite over lowly Colorado. The Buffaloes have nothing left to play for sitting at 2-6, while Texas A&M could clinch a bowl berth this weekend which is something they want to get out of the way after going 4-8 last season and missing a bowl bid. The Aggies are playing their best football of the season right now, winning back-to-back games with a 52-30 win at Texas Tech and a 35-10 home thumping of Iowa State. The Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Buffaloes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Colorado has the worst offense in the Big 12, scoring just 21.7 points/game and averaging 286 total yards/game. Compare that to Texas A&M who scores 35.7 points/game and averages 490 total yards/game and you can see why this thing should result in an Aggies' blowout. Take Texas A&M and lay the points.
4* on Missouri -14(-110 at bookm)
This game has three-touchdown blowout written all over it. Baylor is 0-4 in their last 4 games, losing by double-digits each time. Missouri has a great chance to win the Big 12 North still, and after losing three straight to the likes of Nebraska, Texas and Oklahoma State, the Tigers are back on track after trouncing Colorado on the road 36-17 last week. Missouri is 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Baylor, winning 5 of those 7 games by 15 points or more. Baylor is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off 2 straight losses to conference rivals,scoring less than 14 points since 1992. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Missouri and lay the points.
4* on Oklahoma State -7(-105 at bodog)
This is an absolute mismatch Saturday and the Cowboys should be a much heavier favorite against Iowa State. Oky State is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 16.0 points/game. ISU is back to reality after losing 10-35 at Texas A&M last week, which is the same Aggies' team that Oklahoma State beat 36-31 on the road earlier this season. Oky State beat ISU 59-17 last year and we wouldn't be surprised to see a similar final score in this 2009 edition. The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Take Oklahoma State and lay the points.
4* on Oregon -6.5(-110 at bookm)
After thumping USC 47-20 last week, this could be a letdown spot for Oregon. But it won't be, because the Ducks have National Championship aspirations still, and they want to win the Pac-10 to dethrone the Trojans. Oregon will make easy work of Stanford on Saturday, just like they have been doing now for 7 straight games since losing to Boise State in the season-opener. Oregon is 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS since that loss to the Broncos. They have won 5 straight by 14 or more points, which is impressive considering Cal, UCLA, Washington and USC have been on the schedule during that time. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. Stanford, including a 55-31 blowout in their last visit. Oregon is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. The Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. The Ducks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take Oregon and lay the points.
UConn is 4-4 this season, but honestly they are not far from being 8-0. They have losses by 2, 3, 4 and 4 points this year. So UConn's 4 losses have come by a combined 13 points. This team is not two touchdowns worse than Cincinnati, and it wouldn't surprise us one bit to see them pull off the upset Saturday. The Huskies beat the Bearcats 40-16 last year, and Cincinnati won the Big East last season. UConn is putting up 402 yards/game of total offense, and this unit is much better than they get credit for. UConn is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Huskies are 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Take UConn and the points.
6* 2009 A CC G AM E OF T HE Y EA R on Florida State +8.5(-106 at 5dimes)
Florida State continues to grind it out this season despite their slow start. They have posted back-to-back big wins by 3 points over both UNC and NC State. Now they look to knock off Clemson Saturday, a team that should not be this heavily favored. FSU has played their best football away from home, which is the sign of a mentally tough team. The Seminoles are 2-1 in road games this year, beating BYU and UNC and scoring a whopping 35.0 points/game in the process. FSU averages 444 yards/game of total offense this season, and when you compare that to the 347 yards/game Clemson is putting up, you can see why FSU is the best play in the ACC for all of 2009. FSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points since 1992. The Seminoles are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Take Florida State and the points.
5* C F B S at ur day La te-N ig ht B AI LO UT on Idaho +8(-110 at bookm)
This Idaho team is one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about. The Vandals are 7-2 this season after their 35-34 win over Idaho last week. Their only losses have come on the road at Washington and at Nevada, two solid teams. Fresno State has won 4 straight, but they should be on upset alert Saturday against a Vandals' team that has yet to lose at home. Idaho is 4-0 at home this year, scoring 33.7 points/game. The Vandals are putting up 433 yards/game of total offense this season, so they have one of the better offenses in the country. Fresno State is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 2 seasons. They were lucky to escape with a 31-27 home win over Utah State last week. The Bulldogs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Idaho and the points.
Black Widow 11/7
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