B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* Cavs/Knicks E SP N G AM E OF T HE W EE K on New York +8.5(-105 spbook)
The Cavs are clearly overrated to start the season, sitting at 3-3 thus far. They have been favored in every game. This is an inflated line Friday night as Cleveland travels to face the Knicks. New York is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Cavs are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. The Knicks are 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. The last 2 meetings were decided by 5 points, with Cleveland coming out ahead both times. We feel the Knicks say enough is enough here tonight and likely pull off the upset. The Cavs just played last night, while New York has had a day to rest so they will be the fresher team which is also an advantage. Take the Knicks and the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Denver Nuggets +1(-106 at
5dimes)
Denver is making a statement in the early going that they are here to stay after reaching the Western Conference Semis last season. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS this season, and they aren't going to lose to a middle-of-the-pack Eastern Conference team in Miami tonight. The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Nuggets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Denver is 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Miami. Take Denver and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Atlanta Hawks -2(-105 at
5dimes)
The Hawks are a team from the East that is going to make some noise before season's end. They have a complete team that can do it all, with great guard play behind Bibby and Johnson and excellent post play in Horford and Smith. The Hawks have opened the season 4-1 with big road wins over the Blazers and Kings already. Their only loss was to the defending champion Lakers in a hard-fought 8-point road loss. Charlotte doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Hawks in this one. Atlanta averages 108.0 points/game while Charlotte puts up just 79.8 points/game this year. Take Atlanta and lay the points.
Black Widow 11/6
