[jds07v]

6-Unit Game of the Month. #388 Take Michigan -6 over Purdue (Saturday 11/7 - 12 p.m. EST)

No reason not to feel some reluctance after the way Michigan looked against Illinois last week. But the Wolverines are back at home (5-1) against a Purdue team who has allowed over 36 points per game on the road (0-3). Michigan can pound the ball against a Boilermaker defense that has allowed over 650 rushing yards in their three bad road outings. Three factors here that sell me. Michigan owns Purdue in the Big House. Purdue has been absolutely awful on the road this year. And this game is a must-win for Rich Rodriguez after a shaky month. We're sold. Go Blue!

5-Unit Play. #375 Take Texas A&M -3 over Colorado (Saturday 11/7 - 1:30 p.m. EST)

Normally A&M hasn't faired too well in Boulder, but right now the Buffs are a hot mess. They can't get any production from the the quarterback position, and their rushing game hasn't been good enough to carry the load. And speaking of rushing attacks, the Aggies can rack up the ground yardage and have outgained their opponents running the ball by nearly 350 yards over the last two games. Both victories came from those games after that bad loss to Kansas State, and Texas A&M continues its bounce back ways and gets to six wins on the year.

4-Unit Play. #327 Take Duke +10 over North Carolina (Saturday 11/7 - 3:30 p.m. EST)

Way too high of a number, not only because Duke is playing so well also, but because Carolina still hasn't proven they can score consistently enough to be favored by double figures. The underdog has covered three of the last four meetings, with the winner in each of the last four only coming away with a single digit victory. This game will be close throughout and I think the Blue Devils have a better chance to win outright than does UNC to cover this line. We play the Dukies.

4-Unit Play. #383 Take Houston 'Pk' over Tulsa (Saturday - 11/7 - 7:30 p.m. EST)

You can't deny the revenge factor for the Golden Hurricane here, but more importantly we are focusing on this year's team and that means that Houston needs a win. Must-win? Not exactly, but the Cougars already have a conference loss, so in order to stay on pace to play for the C-USA Championship they need to continue to take care of business and prove that lone setback to UTEP was a simple mistake. 4-4 on the year for Tulsa tells me this team isn't the C-USA power it was a couple of seasons ago. They don't even have a winning record at home, and it stays that way as Houston wins on the road.

4-Unit Play. #381 Take Florida State +8.5 over Clemson (Saturday 11/7 - 7:45 p.m. EST)

Two straight wins for the Seminoles doesn't fix the problems they have had, but it is a good step in the direction. We like them and the points against Clemson. The Tigers are one of the worst teams in the ACC with regards to turnovers, and not only that but they continue to get inconsistent play from the quarterback position. C.J. Spiller scares me, but it seems he does most of his damage on special teams. Clemson can't cover this spread just with its offense. Hopefully Florida State realizes that, steps up and contains the Tigers special teams. FSU can run the ball well and they do so enough to earn a cover and keep the score close enough in the fourth to compete for an outright victory.

NFL Selections

3-Unit Play. #405 Take Baltimore -3 over Cincinnati (Sunday 11/8 - 1 p.m. EST)

The Ravens have impressed me more at 4-3 than has Cincy atop the AFC North. Granted the Bengals beat Baltimore in their first meeting, but I just like this Ravens offense more and the defense showed me a lot last week in their win over Denver. Their win last Sunday helped get over a three game losing streak, and even more so they know a win last time out doesn't mean much if they can't make two straight here.

3-Unit Play. #413 Take Arizona +3 over Chicago (Sunday 11/8 - 1 p.m. EST)

Apparently the Cardinals only win games when they aren't expected to. Arizona lost their opener at home when favored and again last week as big chalk to the Panthers. They also showed their road success this season, so why not think that can continue against the Bears. We'll take the field goal and the road Cards.

3-Unit Play. #429 Take Pittsburgh -3 over Denver (Monday 11/9 - 8:30 p.m. EST)

Four straight wins and a bye week seems like the perfect scenario for the defending champs to continue their momentum on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh is slowly building up for a run and they make it five straight against Denver Broncos, who have proven that they are a good football team. A good team, but the better one will be the road Steelers.

[InTheHole]

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