Lenny Del Genio

BOWLING GREEN +3.5

The Falcons have major revenge from a 40-34 2OT loss last year to Buffalo where they blew a 27-7 4th quarter lead, enabling the Bulls to clinch the MAC East Title. Bowling Green has covered Nine of its last 11 road games (8-1 ATS as an underdog) and won 7 of its last 8 November games SU. Buffalo has beaten just two FBS opponents all season and just one since the opening upset of UTEP. In fact, they have not covered as a favorite all season and just allowed 350 yards passing in their last game, a 34-31 loss to Western Michigan. For a bad and banged up Buffalo defense, the news gets worse against the Falcons passing attack of QB Sheehan and WR Barnes, the latter of whom leads the nation in receiving. The offense has thrown for 343+ yards passing in each of its last four games. Bowling Green is our 15* MAC Game of the Week.