[tinfw17]

MREAST NCAAF TUESDAY 5***** (TOP PLAY)

The Bowling Green Falcons are one of the top passing offenses in the country, as they have a QB in Tyler Sheehan who will be making his 34th consecutive start. Sheehan has thrown for 8,743 yards, and 58 TD's, and the Falcon passing attack is averaging a nation's 4th best 341 yards per game, which has increased to 401 yards a game in October. The problem for the Falcons is they have no complimentary running game, as noone with more than 1 carry is averaging even 4 yards an attempt. The average is 2.41 and just 65 yards a game. It has led to 23 sacks, and numerous stalled drives, as it makes it difficult to score in the red-zone when the field gets short. The passing yards would indicate a teams scoring big, but the Falcons have played half their schedule scoring 20 or less, and the Bulls have a top 45 pass defernse, so they can at least slow the Falcons. Bowling Green simply can't stop the run, allowing nearly 6 yards an attempt, so the Bulls will be doing a lot of running, one to keep the Falcon offense off the field, but 2 it is the best way to attack the Falcon defense. Here is something very revealing about this game. There are 42 teams in NCAAF that average over 400 yards of offense a game, and both these teams are on that list of 42 teams. The 42 teams average 32.3ppg. There are only 3 teams of the 42 taht average under 27ppg, and both of them are in this game! Bowling Green at 23.6ppg, and Buffalo at 23.1ppg. Bowling Green has played 7 straight to the under as a road dog, and 9-1 overall in their last 10 as a dog. Bulls are at 4 straight to the under at home vs a road team with a losing record. I like this one to go under the total.

#301 BOWLING GREEN FALCONS @ #302 BUFFALO BULLS 7:00PM EST

PLAY ON #301 BOWLING GREEN FALCONS @ #302 BUFFALO BULLS UNDER 54 -110 FOR 5 UNITS

[tinfw17]

11.3.2009.