NY Giants –1 over PHILADELPHIA

Based on talent and situation the G-Men should absolutely bury this rival. In terms of this line, the best thing that could’ve happened last week did, as the Giants lost at home to the Cardinals while the Eagles built a 20-point half-time lead over the Skins en route to a rather easy 13-point victory. That win combined with the Giants loss has these two battling for first place in the NFC East but in terms of talent, they’re not close and it’s not in the Eagle favor. Philly has played one quality opponent this season and was flattened 48-22 by the Saints. It’s other games came against a bunch of compete dregs (Carolina, K.C., Cleveland, Oakland and Washington) and after watching them perform against Washington on Monday night I can now understand how they lost to Oakland. Donovan McNab looks awful, as he keeps missing open receivers with brutal throws but he and the teams poor play has been masked by a 4-2 record against some bad opposition. In fact, on Monday night the Eagles scored three TD’s but they were all lucky, as one was a pick-6, one was a 70-yard run and the other was a 52-yard bomb. The Eagles had great field position all night yet they did not run a single play inside the red-zone because they could not get there against a bad, bad football team. The Giants are livid and hungry after consecutive losses. They, too, were crushed by New Orleans but unlike the Eagles, they beat Oakland 44-7. Philly does not have a quality win this season and based on their play it’s unlikely they’ll get one, as the Eagles are the most overrated team in the business and will be exposed as another bad football team here. Play: NY Giants –1 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).


JACKSONVILLE/Tennessee under 45

If you’re a regular reader of this section than you know I’m not a totals guy but frankly, this line looks so out of whack that it has to be considered a must play. Jeff Fisher’s hand is forced in that after opening the year 0-6 and with no shot at making the playoffs, Fisher has been pressured into switching QB’s and he has obliged. Enter Vince Young with his fragile mind and limited talents. Fisher will be running the ball all game, as it’s extremely unlikely that he’ll let Young go to the air much at all. He’ll use his power running game and will throw only when absolutely necessary. The Jags main weapon is also the run, as Maurice Drew Jones is the guy they keep handing the ball over to and he keeps delivering. These two are bitter rivals and Fisher knows that his only chance of a win is to play great defense and the Titans are very capable of that. Sure, both defenses are ranked near the bottom, however, stats can be misleading. The Titans have played Indy, New England, Houston and Pittsburgh and that quartet is capable of shredding anyone. The Jags have encountered Arizona, Indy, Seattle and Houston and those are four can score as well. This total is based on the poor defensive rankings of both sides. Thing is, both have been poor vs the pass and this game will be anything but an aerial attack. Also, these two met a few weeks back and the Jags crushed the Titans 37-17. The Titans threw the ball 48 times that day and got blown out, which is more reason to believe that Fisher will stick to the ground game. In a rare total play, this one stays way, way under. Play: Jacksonville/Tennessee under 45 (Risking 2.26 units to win 2).


Jacksonville +1.40 over TENNESSEE

I’m not really a big fan of playing the side and total in the same game but after mulling over this one I just can’t pass it up. This one doesn’t need a lot of explanation. The bottom line is we’re getting points against Vince Young and that’s all there is to it. This guy has been sitting and pouting on the bench for over a year, nobody on the team sees him as a leader, especially after he went ape-shit after being benched last season. The only reason he’s even on the bench is because the Titans are paying him a hefty salary and next year it goes up to 14.2M. In fact, Fisher didn’t even want to start VY but the owner of the team, Bud Adams, forced Fisher to make the change. Fisher let the quarterbacks know the forced decision on Thursday and VY took all the first-team snaps. This is an 0-6 team that is coming off a bye week and one has to wonder if the players even want to come back. They have no leader, no wins and no motivation. The Jags beat them earlier 37-17 and that’s when the Titans were not out of it yet. This game is now in Tennessee but the result could be even worse. Keep the points. Play: Jacksonville +1.40 (Risking 2 units).