3.5 DIME PLAY

Houston @ Buffalo

1:00p.m. Sunday

3.5 Dime Play Take Houston -3 (buy the half) First off if you can't get -3, this is a good play at -4, but for the records I am at -3. Andre Johnson, man he is a beast, 16.7 ypc average and 634 yards with 4 TDs. I can't see the Bills not letting him breakout in this one. Plus Slaton has picked it up the past couple of games and that is what they have been missing. With both of them on the field and doing well, we can expect Schaub to add to his 16 passing TDs that he already has. Not to mention Owen Daniels, man this guy is good. Between Johnson and Daniels they account for 9 of Schaub's 16 TDs. This team is becoming more versitle every week. I am definetly not convinced that Ryan Fitzpatrick is a solid QB in the NFL. He definetly has received a good amount of playing time in the past season, since he played for Carson Palmer when he was out last year. But still, its Ryan Fitzpatrick and right now he's sitting on a 44.7 completion percentage. T.O. did not practice this week and his injury is not listed, but it's not like he has been a factor this season anyways. The Bills have only one rushing TD this season from all of their running backs and that's not going to cut it with Houston's powerfull offense coming to town. Buy the half but not thinking it will really matter.

Trends I Like

BUF are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
BUF are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
HOU are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
HOU are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
HOU are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.