Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side Sat, 10/31/09 - 3:30 PM
triple-dime bet 154 Navy -6.5 (-110)
BetUs vs 153 Temple
Analysis: PLAY: NAVY
RATING: 5 UNIT PLAY
First Off this Play is my GOY but as I always you use Money Management. If you use the Pregame rating System this would be played at 5 Units. Those that follow my Phone service ratings this would be a 25* Play. For the Year we are up 77.8 Stars on that rating system so we are risking 25 of that today. Now on to the Game:
Last year we used Navy as our 25* College Game of the Year and we are so again this year. Navy's rushing attack is one of the best in the Country but what makes it so good is that most teams just don't see it and know how to prepare for it. In there last 3 Games Navy has run for 471 yards against Air Force, 331 yards against SMU, and 334 yards against Wake Forest. Note that in the Wake Forest game that was done with the back up QB and he will be even stronger today with his second start. Temple did face Navy last year which will have them better prepared to face the Navy Option attack but here's why it won't matter.
This Game is virtually meaningless to Temple as Temple at 4-0 in the MAC has it's sights on a MAC Championship and a Bowl Berth. This is a non conference game that means nothing to their season. The MAC title or at least MAC championship is their ticket to a Bowl Game so how much effort do they want to spend chasing the Navy option attack down. Navy on the other is an independent and every game is important to them making a Bowl Game. Navy has Won 5 in a row and will get #6 today. Only 2 teams have Beaten Navy this year Ohio St and Pitt and both of those teams are Good Football Teams. The beauty of the Navy running game is that it's a clock killer in second half when you are protecting a lead and closing out the game. What happens is in the second the defense tires from trying to stop the run for the 55th time. Navy will run the ball Over 60 times today and wear down Temple in second half. Also note that Temple's 5 Game winning streak has been a result of a 16-5 Turnover Margin. Since the first week of the season Navy has only 5 turnovers in 7 Games. My projected Final Score is NAVY 31-14. TAKE NAVY as MARCO'S 25* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR
Marco D'Angelo 10/31
sam in so cal gave stumptown 15 SBR Point(s) for this post.
not over but damn?
