Bill Young AKA Black Widow 10/31
Bill Young AKA Black Widow
* Widow Wise guy Big Ten "STEAL" OF THE YEAR on Indiana +17.5(-107 at 5dimes)
Iowa has just been squeaking by their opponents of late, not blowing anyone out. In fact, Iowa has won 6 straight games by 11 points or less. This is a very inflated line Saturday, and we'll take advantage with the biggest STEAL in the Big Ten this season. Iowa has a 1-point win over UNI, a 3-point win over Arkansas State and a 2-point win over Michigan this season at home. Those 3 teams are not any better than this 4-4 Indiana team this season. The Hoosiers are just 1-3 on the road, but they are 3-1 ATS in road games this season with a 38-21 win at Akron, a 33-36 loss at Michigan and a 28-29 loss at Northwestern. This is Indiana's season Saturday as a win would give them a great shot to earn a bowl bid, and national exposure by beating the only undefeated team left in the Big Ten. This is unfamiliar territory for Iowa as it's the first time they have started 8-0 in school history. Players are starting to feel the pressure, and that's why they've had so many close wins of late. If they win Saturday, it will be another nailbiter. The Hawkeyes lost starting RB Adam Robinson and starting OL Dace Richardson each for the season after both suffered injuries in their 15-13 win at Michigan State last week. These losses will force QB Ricky Stanzi to try and win this game on his own, which he cannot do. Stanzi has been prone to the interception this season, already throwing 8 picks in 8 games. The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Hawkeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Indiana has won 2 of their last 3 meetings with Iowa, including a 38-20 road win in 2007 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Hoosiers are now 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road meetings with the Hawkeyes. Take Indiana and the points.
5* W ise guy ABC Saturday Night "Side" S LAU GH TER on Oklahoma State +9(-110 at bookm)
Oklahoma State has been waiting for this game, a chance to knock off unbeaten Texas. If there's one team that is going to spoil the Longhorns' perfect season, it's the Cowboys. Oklahoma State has everything you need to beat a team like Texas, a balanced offense and an outsanding defense. The Cowboys are 6-1 this season, scoring 37.0 points/game and putting up 418 yards/game of total offense. They average 186 rushing yards and 232 passing yards. Defensively, they give up 20.0 points/game but they have improved as the season has progressed. The Cowboys are giving up just 12 points/game in their last 2 with blowout wins over Missouri and Baylor. Texas has won a pair of nailbiters the last 2 years, winning 38-35 at Oky State in 2007 and 28-24 at home last year. The Cowboys are sick and tired of losing tight games to this team, and they will do something about it Saturday and likely spoil the Longhorns' perfect season. One thing is certain, they won't lose by more than a touchdown at home. The Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Oklahoma State is playing their best football of the season right now, perfect timing to take down the undefeated Longhorns. Take Oky State and the points.
5* W ise guy ABC Saturday Night "Side" S LAU GH TER on Oklahoma State +9(-110 at bookm)
Oklahoma State has been waiting for this game, a chance to knock off unbeaten Texas. If there's one team that is going to spoil the Longhorns' perfect season, it's the Cowboys. Oklahoma State has everything you need to beat a team like Texas, a balanced offense and an outsanding defense. The Cowboys are 6-1 this season, scoring 37.0 points/game and putting up 418 yards/game of total offense. They average 186 rushing yards and 232 passing yards. Defensively, they give up 20.0 points/game but they have improved as the season has progressed. The Cowboys are giving up just 12 points/game in their last 2 with blowout wins over Missouri and Baylor. Texas has won a pair of nailbiters the last 2 years, winning 38-35 at Oky State in 2007 and 28-24 at home last year. The Cowboys are sick and tired of losing tight games to this team, and they will do something about it Saturday and likely spoil the Longhorns' perfect season. One thing is certain, they won't lose by more than a touchdown at home. The Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Oklahoma State is playing their best football of the season right now, perfect timing to take down the undefeated Longhorns. Take Oky State and the points.
4* on Utah State +17(-107 at 5dimes)
Utah State has played all of their opponents very tough this season despite their 2-5 record. The Aggies are 5-2 ATS in all games this year, not losing once by more than 18 points. They have lost twice by 18 on the road to BYU and on the road to Utah, and both BYU and Utah are better than Fresno State. The Bulldogs have played a very soft schedule of late with blowout wins over Hawaii, San Jose State and New Mexico State. Look for Fresno to come out stagnant Saturday after that easy slate of games, and Utah State takes advantage by covering this monster spread, possibly winning outright. Utah State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Fresno, losing by just 2, 11 and 1 in their last 3 meetings, respectively. This will be another closely-contested ball game in their 2009 meeting and that's why taking the points is the only move here. Take Utah State and the points.
4* on Georgia Tech/Vanderbilt UNDER 47(-109 at 5dimes)
This is going to be a defensive battle between two teams who rely very heavily on the run. To put it in persective, Georgia Tech averages 56 rushing attempts/game and only 11 pass attempts. Vanderbilt averages 41 rushing attempts/game to 30 pass attempts. Vandy has been forced to throw more because they have been behind so often due to a lack of production offensively. But the Commodores are completing just 47.3% of their passes and averaging a mere 16.6 points/game offensively. Vandy won't score more than 10 points Saturday, and we don't see Georgia Tech reaching 30 in this defensive battle. The Yellow Jackets are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. Vandy is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons. Vandy is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in home games off a road loss since 1992. The Commodores are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 47 points here.
|
