Karl Garrett 10/29
30 DIMER - NORTH CAROLINA....
10 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA-NY YANKEES OVER
30 DIMER - NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
The Gobblers have had a little extra time to stew about their 28-23 loss at Georgia Tech, and while I don't see them losing this game outright, I do think this impost is a little "too tall for the call".
North Carolina is the classic example of a team that can't handle being the favorite - 1-3 this season against the spread - but thrives in the underdog role - 7-3 against the spread under Butch Davis.
The Tar Heels have twice come close to knocking off the Hokies under Butch Davis, losing 17-10 at Blacksburg 2 years ago, and losing 20-17 at home last year as the slight favorite.
Virginia Tech is just 3-8 against the spread their last 11 games when favored, and while they have had a few blowouts this year, North Carolina's defense is staunch enough to hold the Hokies within earshot.
North Carolina entered the season with very high expectations, this is their chance to erase last Thursday's flop versus Florida State, and gain back some respectabilty.
I like the Tar Heels plus the points.
10 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA-NY YANKEES OVER (Martinez vs. Burnett)
Last night's UNDER - just barely! - made it a 14-3 UNDER run over the last 17 World Series games played.
I don't think that trend is moving to 15-3, as the New York bats will be quite happy to see their old friend Pedro "Who's your Daddy?" Martinez on the mound for this one, as they were totally dominated by southpaw Cliff Lee last night.
The Yankees will be able to hit Pedro this evening, and conversely we have seen AJ Burnett and his bouts with wildness this October, and tonight should be nothing new against the patient bats of Philadelphia.
Philadelphia has still be OVER the total in 8 of their last 10 road games, and I expect this one to go OVER as well.
Reply With Quote