[Money_ballz]

Does anyone got his pick for 10/29. So far he 2-0 if you took his advice and waited closer to the game to lock them in.

[njnets67]

Does anyone got his pick for 10/29. So far he 2-0 if you took his advice and waited closer to the game to lock them in.

WORD
Anyone got aussieguysportspicks NBA THURSDAY?? Plz someone post it if you do

[Money_ballz]

10/29/09
NUGGETS at BLAZERS

For starters, Thursday offers a very thin board of options for the bettors out there. Secondly, this is the last game of the night where, 1-those who lost earlier will try "and make all their cash back" and 2- those degenerates that were a little uncertain or too nervous to pull the trigger on the first Hoops game or the UNC/VT game, this is their last opportunity to have a crack and get their "fix" for the day.
Remember, sports betting is as much of a mind game as it is a numbers, stats, trends and match-ups game.

Now, we may hit this nicely or we may lose our jocks with this game, nevertheless this is the premise which this last game of the night needs to be approached with.

I've said it several times that the lines makers aren't just brilliant mathematicians, or statisticians (how the hell do you spell that???) or sports fanatics. They're all that, but they're much more than that, they also are fantastic mind readers and know well too well how the mind of the gambler works (Need proof? Just go and look around Casinos and see the whole ambience, lay out and atmosphere etc... how it all is set up. That will tell you alot about the odds makers approach too, as they set the lines in various sports)
That's what I study! As you ALL know though, even better than me, I am not always right and it doesn't always translate into cash, but we can't be lazy or laxy-dasy about the handicapping approach...

I hear some of you mumbling to yourself 'Shut the F up Aus and get on with this and hopefully you got a winner instead of a s*itty loser'

So I will take that mumble onboard and get on with this :-)

Going from the premise I laid out above, personally I believe the Nuggets are getting quite the generous "gift" here! They're just coming off of a nice and "easy" double digit cover against the Jazz. Shooting at a pretty decent % from all stats and angles! But if we look at that game in detail and if you had a bet on Denver to cover, you would have been crapping your pants, as that game went down the wire and it could have gone either way, if not for some "heroics" of T Lawson in the 4th! The scoreboard is definetly not telling the whole truth! What makes this 7 pt spread even more of a "generous gift' for Denver is the "un-impressive" victory of Portland over a depleted Rockets team.
I expect the pundits to pounce on the Nuggets like a bunch of wasps hovering around an open honey jar. Therefore, the same rule applies: PLEASE place your bet as close to game time as possible so we get the best number or the best dollar return. (Do I need to mention again the lines are a little sharp this season??!!!!!) However, It will take a lot more than just some heroics from Lawson and co to upset Portland at Rose Garden!

Pick. PORTLAND BLAZERS -7

[jellobiafra]

That line is going the other way. If you want Portland you should have already gotten them.

[PAPSMEAR]

Denver at +8 seem like a solid play to me.

[njnets67]

Aussie has just emailed his paid up customers saying smthn like 'if the line stays at -8 or worse he won't bet this personally...not because of a mere 1 point more or less on the spread, but rather because of the overwhelming amount of action $$$$ that the Blazers are receiving' Just thought I'd give everyone heads up here.
I will still bet it if it's -7.5 by game time, but I'll wait till the last second